Jaime Faria vs Marco Trungelliti
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaime Faria
Jaime …: 58,2% Marco …: 41,8%
¿Por qué Jaime Faria?
UTR 14,32 vs 14,48 (-0,19) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jaime … Marco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,57 2,41 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,72 2,39 58,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Jaime …: -4,3% Marco …: +4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaime Faria
Ranking #151
UTR Rating 14,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #229
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/16 = 50,0%
Marco Trungelliti
Ranking #130
UTR Rating 14,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #180
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/9 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -21,0000
rank_ratio 0,8609
log_rank_ratio -0,1497
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -55,0000
best_rank_diff 25,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,0825
surface_matches_ratio 1,7778
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 44,4444
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,7289
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,4767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,5360
first_serve_won_diff 0,7986
second_serve_won_diff -4,6833
bp_saved_diff -4,9549
bp_converted_diff 16,5382
aces_per_match_diff 4,2708
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,4940
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8931
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,4662
serve_consistency_p2 0,9718
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,8319
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0210
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0766
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1900
utr_p1 0,7412
utr_p2 0,7635
utr_advantage -1,3199
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23047
API ID 15366022
Gamdom ID 597689
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23047,
    "api_id": 15366022,
    "gamdom_id": 597689,
    "player1": "Jaime Faria",
    "player2": "Marco Trungelliti",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.41
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5816,
    "prob_p2": 0.4184,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5816,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 151,
      "utr_singles": 14.32,
      "utr_ranking": 229,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 130,
      "utr_singles": 14.48,
      "utr_ranking": 180,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.32,
      "ranking": 229,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.48,
      "ranking": 180,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7411764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.1899999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8609271523178808,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -55,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.9548611111111,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
    "utr_advantage": -1.3199027440083329,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 25,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.14974538635934195,
    "rank_advantage": -21,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.555555555555557,
    "bp_converted_diff": 16.538194444444446,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.53597222222222,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8931297709923665,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.270833333333334,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4766666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.7986111111111143,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.466204045819423,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.9717644360639334,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.8319188131074555,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.72893772893773,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.683333333333337,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7777777777777777,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.4939999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02100000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0765555555555556,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.082539682539682,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}