Jaime Faria vs Marco Trungelliti
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaime Faria
Jaime …: 58,2%
Marco …: 41,8%
¿Por qué Jaime Faria?
UTR 14,32 vs 14,48
(-0,19)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jaime … | Marco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,41 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,72 | 2,39 | 58,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jaime …: -4,3%
Marco …: +4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaime Faria
Ranking
#151
UTR Rating
14,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#229
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/16 = 50,0%
Marco Trungelliti
Ranking
#130
UTR Rating
14,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#180
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/9 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -21,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8609 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1497 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -55,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,0825 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7778 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,7289 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,5360 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,7986 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,6833 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,9549 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 16,5382 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,2708 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,4940 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8931 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4662 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,9718 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,8319 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0210 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0766 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7635 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3199 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23047
API ID
15366022
Gamdom ID
597689
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23047,
"api_id": 15366022,
"gamdom_id": 597689,
"player1": "Jaime Faria",
"player2": "Marco Trungelliti",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.41
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.3
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5816,
"prob_p2": 0.4184,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5816,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": 14.32,
"utr_ranking": 229,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 130,
"utr_singles": 14.48,
"utr_ranking": 180,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 229,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.48,
"ranking": 180,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.1899999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 0.8609271523178808,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -55,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.9548611111111,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
"utr_advantage": -1.3199027440083329,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 25,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.14974538635934195,
"rank_advantage": -21,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.555555555555557,
"bp_converted_diff": 16.538194444444446,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.53597222222222,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8931297709923665,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.270833333333334,
"combined_confidence": 0.4766666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.7986111111111143,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.466204045819423,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.9717644360639334,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.8319188131074555,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.72893772893773,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.683333333333337,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7777777777777777,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.4939999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02100000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0765555555555556,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.082539682539682,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}