Stefano Travaglia vs Dane Sweeny
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefano Travaglia
Stefano …: 66,7%
Dane …: 33,3%
¿Por qué Stefano Travaglia?
UTR 14,53 vs 14,51
(+0,31)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Stefano … | Dane … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,65 | 1,49 | 37,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,50 | 3,00 | 66,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Stefano …: +24,4%
Dane …: -24,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefano Travaglia
Ranking
#191
UTR Rating
14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#165
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
7/12 = 58,3%
Dane Sweeny
Ranking
#182
UTR Rating
14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -7,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9630 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0377 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -17,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 121,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,7368 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,6316 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14,6533 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 11,5167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,3167 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,7167 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,5833 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,9500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,5200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,1642 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0574 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,1887 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0903 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0263 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7306 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,1580 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23048
API ID
15366025
Gamdom ID
597701
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23048,
"api_id": 15366025,
"gamdom_id": 597701,
"player1": "Stefano Travaglia",
"player2": "Dane Sweeny",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.65,
"p2": 1.49
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.69,
"p2": 1.44
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6672,
"prob_p2": 0.3328,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6672,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 191,
"utr_singles": 14.53,
"utr_ranking": 165,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 182,
"utr_singles": 14.51,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 165,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7305882352941178,
"utr_diff": 0.3099999999999987,
"rank_ratio": 0.9629629629629629,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -17,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.7166666666666615,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": 2.1580229725026014,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 121,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.037740327982847086,
"rank_advantage": -7,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.583333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.653333333333322,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.95,
"combined_confidence": 0.48,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 11.516666666666666,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.1642399601142133,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.057449970686474,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.18870163991423544,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.31666666666667,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.519999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09033333333333338,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02633333333333332,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7368421052631595,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}