Stefano Travaglia vs Dane Sweeny
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefano Travaglia
Stefano …: 66,7% Dane …: 33,3%
¿Por qué Stefano Travaglia?
UTR 14,53 vs 14,51 (+0,31) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Stefano … Dane … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,65 1,49 37,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,50 3,00 66,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Stefano …: +24,4% Dane …: -24,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefano Travaglia
Ranking #191
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #165
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 7/12 = 58,3%
Dane Sweeny
Ranking #182
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 71% (7p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -7,0000
rank_ratio 0,9630
log_rank_ratio -0,0377
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -17,0000
best_rank_diff 121,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,7368
surface_matches_ratio 0,8000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,3333
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,2500
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,6316
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,4800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 14,6533
first_serve_won_diff 11,5167
second_serve_won_diff 3,3167
bp_saved_diff 6,7167
bp_converted_diff 4,5833
aces_per_match_diff 3,9500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,5200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,1642
serve_consistency_p2 6,0574
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1887
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0903
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0263
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3100
utr_p1 0,7671
utr_p2 0,7306
utr_advantage 2,1580
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23048
API ID 15366025
Gamdom ID 597701
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23048,
    "api_id": 15366025,
    "gamdom_id": 597701,
    "player1": "Stefano Travaglia",
    "player2": "Dane Sweeny",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.65,
      "p2": 1.49
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.69,
      "p2": 1.44
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6672,
    "prob_p2": 0.3328,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6672,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 191,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 165,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 182,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 165,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7670588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.7305882352941178,
    "utr_diff": 0.3099999999999987,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9629629629629629,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": -17,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.7166666666666615,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 2.1580229725026014,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 121,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.037740327982847086,
    "rank_advantage": -7,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.583333333333336,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": 14.653333333333322,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.95,
    "combined_confidence": 0.48,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 11.516666666666666,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.1642399601142133,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.057449970686474,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.18870163991423544,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.31666666666667,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.519999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09033333333333338,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02633333333333332,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7368421052631595,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}