Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Martin Damm Jr
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Gilles …: 27,7% Martin …: 72,3%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Gilles … Martin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,36 33,3%
Gamdom 2,55 1,52 39,2%
IA Fair Odds 3,60 1,38 27,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Gilles …: -3,5% Martin …: +3,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Ranking #208
UTR Rating 14,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #334
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 83% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking #177
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 75% (8p)
WR Hard 15/23 = 65,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -30,0000
rank_ratio 0,8551
log_rank_ratio -0,1566
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -50,0000
best_rank_diff -28,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -65,2174
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,7531
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 65,2174
surface_wr_p1_stable 70,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,9630
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,5333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -83,7761
first_serve_won_diff -78,7087
second_serve_won_diff -60,8261
bp_saved_diff -66,0652
bp_converted_diff -35,0783
aces_per_match_diff -13,0870
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,8300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,5625
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 9,0661
serve_consistency_p2 2,9532
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,2110
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4700
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1222
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7129
utr_p2 0,7129
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23050
API ID 15366021
Gamdom ID 597678
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23050,
    "api_id": 15366021,
    "gamdom_id": 597678,
    "player1": "Gilles Arnaud Bailly",
    "player2": "Martin Damm Jr",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T03:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3636363636363638
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.55,
      "p2": 1.52
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.48,
      "p2": 1.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2774,
    "prob_p2": 0.7226,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7226,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 208,
      "utr_singles": 14.1,
      "utr_ranking": 334,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 177,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.1,
      "ranking": 334,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7129411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.7129411764705883,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.855072463768116,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": -50,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -66.06521739130434,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.21739130434783,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -28,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.15656906069153992,
    "rank_advantage": -30,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -65.21739130434783,
    "bp_converted_diff": -35.07826086956521,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -83.77608695652174,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5625,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -13.08695652173913,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -78.70869565217392,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.066128776792517,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.9531830320994747,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.211025697274343,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.96296296296296,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -60.82608695652174,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.8300000000000125,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.47,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12217391304347824,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.753086419753087,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}