Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 05:45
15 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Pierre-Hugues …: 41,0%
Nicolai …: 59,0%
¿Por qué Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pierre-Hugues … | Nicolai … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,65 | 1,48 | 37,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,44 | 1,70 | 41,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Pierre-Hugues …: +5,5%
Nicolai …: -5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Ranking
#157
UTR Rating
14,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#187
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/27 = 55,6%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking
#135
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
25/35 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -22,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8599 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1510 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -47,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 96,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15,8730 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,6725 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7714 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,8387 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 69,2308 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,6619 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,2787 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,0889 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,1127 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,8806 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5746 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,4800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,3870 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,3451 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,3964 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0776 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1923 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7612 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23051
API ID
15366194
Gamdom ID
597722
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23051,
"api_id": 15366194,
"gamdom_id": 597722,
"player1": "Pierre-Hugues Herbert",
"player2": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T01:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.65,
"p2": 1.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.63,
"p2": 1.46
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4104,
"prob_p2": 0.5896,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5896,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 157,
"utr_singles": 14.43,
"utr_ranking": 187,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 135,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.43,
"ranking": 187,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7611764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.7611764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.8598726114649682,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": -47,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.1126984126984,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 71.42857142857143,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 96,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.15097102690987857,
"rank_advantage": -22,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.873015873015873,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.880634920634911,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.661904761904765,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.5746031746031752,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.2787301587301556,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.387023376273672,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.345055418059095,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.396365506506009,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.83870967741935,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.23076923076923,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.0888888888888815,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7714285714285715,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.4799999999999898,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0775555555555556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19228571428571428,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.67245657568238,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}