Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Pierre-Hugues …: 41,0% Nicolai …: 59,0%
¿Por qué Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pierre-Hugues … Nicolai … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,65 1,48 37,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,44 1,70 41,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Pierre-Hugues …: +5,5% Nicolai …: -5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Ranking #157
UTR Rating 14,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #187
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/27 = 55,6%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking #135
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 25/35 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -22,0000
rank_ratio 0,8599
log_rank_ratio -0,1510
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -47,0000
best_rank_diff 96,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -15,8730
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,6725
surface_matches_ratio 0,7714
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 71,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,8387
surface_wr_p2_stable 69,2308
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,6619
first_serve_won_diff 2,2787
second_serve_won_diff -2,0889
bp_saved_diff 9,1127
bp_converted_diff -6,8806
aces_per_match_diff 2,5746
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,4800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 6,3870
serve_consistency_p2 8,3451
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,3964
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0776
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1923
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7612
utr_p2 0,7612
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23051
API ID 15366194
Gamdom ID 597722
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23051,
    "api_id": 15366194,
    "gamdom_id": 597722,
    "player1": "Pierre-Hugues Herbert",
    "player2": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T01:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.65,
      "p2": 1.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.46
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4104,
    "prob_p2": 0.5896,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5896,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 157,
      "utr_singles": 14.43,
      "utr_ranking": 187,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 135,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.43,
      "ranking": 187,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.7611764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8598726114649682,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": -47,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.1126984126984,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 71.42857142857143,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 96,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.15097102690987857,
    "rank_advantage": -22,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -15.873015873015873,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.880634920634911,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.661904761904765,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.5746031746031752,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.2787301587301556,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.387023376273672,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.345055418059095,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.396365506506009,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.83870967741935,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.23076923076923,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.0888888888888815,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7714285714285715,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.4799999999999898,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0775555555555556,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19228571428571428,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.67245657568238,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}