Rafael Jodar vs Luca Van Assche
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 06:05
15 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rafael Jodar
Rafael …: 79,1%
Luca …: 21,0%
¿Por qué Rafael Jodar?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rafael … | Luca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,34 | 3,30 | 74,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,27 | 4,77 | 79,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rafael …: +10,3%
Luca …: -10,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rafael Jodar
Ranking
#150
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
75% (8p)
WR Hard
22/30 = 73,3%
Luca Van Assche
Ranking
#165
UTR Rating
14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#108
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/26 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 15,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0953 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 66,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -87,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 23,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19,2157 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1538 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 73,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 70,5882 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,7224 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,0692 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,9423 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,0077 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,2269 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,4026 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,9100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,7229 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,9390 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,2239 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2183 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0150 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7918 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23052
API ID
15366371
Gamdom ID
597877
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23052,
"api_id": 15366371,
"gamdom_id": 597877,
"player1": "Rafael Jodar",
"player2": "Luca Van Assche",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T02:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.34,
"p2": 3.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.2
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7905,
"prob_p2": 0.2095,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7905,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 165,
"utr_singles": 14.81,
"utr_ranking": 108,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.81,
"ranking": 108,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.791764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.791764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.1,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 66,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.0076923076923094,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 73.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -87,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.09531017980432493,
"rank_advantage": 15,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 23.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.22692307692307878,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.7224358974359006,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.4025641025641029,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.0692307692307708,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.722927110235151,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.939043807987115,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.223904195434248,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.58823529411765,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.9423076923077005,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1538461538461537,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.909999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21833333333333327,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.015000000000000013,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.21568627450981,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}