Elias Ymer vs Coleman Wong
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elias Ymer
Elias …: 53,4% Coleman …: 46,6%
¿Por qué Elias Ymer?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elias … Coleman … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,50 1,29 28,6%
Gamdom 3,65 1,29 27,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,87 2,15 53,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Elias …: +26,6% Coleman …: -26,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elias Ymer
Ranking #175
UTR Rating 14,20 Pro
UTR Ranking #284
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 18/28 = 64,3%
Coleman Wong
Ranking #132
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/38 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -43,0000
rank_ratio 0,7543
log_rank_ratio -0,2820
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -119,0000
best_rank_diff 23,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,3910
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,1786
surface_matches_ratio 0,7368
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,2857
surface_wr_p2 57,8947
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,1429
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2857
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,3405
first_serve_won_diff 0,0045
second_serve_won_diff 1,3387
bp_saved_diff -0,6211
bp_converted_diff 3,8380
aces_per_match_diff -3,8722
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,2200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1746
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7692
serve_consistency_p1 4,8699
serve_consistency_p2 6,9833
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,8022
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1859
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0359
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7224
utr_p2 0,7224
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23053
API ID 15366379
Gamdom ID 597895
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23053,
    "api_id": 15366379,
    "gamdom_id": 597895,
    "player1": "Elias Ymer",
    "player2": "Coleman Wong",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.5,
      "p2": 1.2857142857142856
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.65,
      "p2": 1.29
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.49,
      "p2": 1.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5345,
    "prob_p2": 0.4655,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5345,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 175,
      "utr_singles": 14.2,
      "utr_ranking": 284,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 132,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.2,
      "ranking": 284,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7223529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.7223529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7542857142857143,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": -119,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.621052631578948,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.89473684210527,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 23,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2819840513371431,
    "rank_advantage": -43,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.3909774436090245,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.837969924812022,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.340488721804498,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1746031746031746,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.872180451127819,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.004511278195508339,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.869915362006687,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.9832847699487415,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.8021537115531707,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.3387218045112803,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7368421052631579,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.219999999999985,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18585714285714294,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03594736842105262,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.178571428571432,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}