Yibing Wu vs Tristan Boyer
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 06:00
15 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yibing Wu
Yibing …: 79,7%
Tristan …: 20,3%
¿Por qué Yibing Wu?
UTR 15,13 vs 14,33
(+0,45)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yibing … | Tristan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,25 | 4,94 | 79,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yibing …: +4,7%
Tristan …: -4,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yibing Wu
Ranking
#168
UTR Rating
15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#74
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/31 = 74,2%
Tristan Boyer
Ranking
#181
UTR Rating
14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#242
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/23 = 52,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 13,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0774 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0745 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 21,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 52,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 22,0196 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,2928 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3478 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 74,1935 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,8519 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4839 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,5642 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3304 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,5913 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0739 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,6478 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3240 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,1190 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7200 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,3254 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,2199 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,6412 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2289 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0347 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7388 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,1024 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23054
API ID
15366396
Gamdom ID
598567
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23054,
"api_id": 15366396,
"gamdom_id": 598567,
"player1": "Yibing Wu",
"player2": "Tristan Boyer",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.36,
"p2": 3.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.34
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7974,
"prob_p2": 0.2026,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7974,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 168,
"utr_singles": 15.13,
"utr_ranking": 74,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 181,
"utr_singles": 14.33,
"utr_ranking": 242,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.13,
"ranking": 74,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.33,
"ranking": 242,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.791764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.7388235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.45000000000000107,
"rank_ratio": 1.0773809523809523,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 21,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.07391304347825667,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 74.19354838709677,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
"utr_advantage": 3.102378490175809,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 52,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.07453305186256677,
"rank_advantage": 13,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 22.01963534361851,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.64782608695652,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.5642075736325296,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.72,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.32398316970546936,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.3304347826087053,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4838709677419355,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.325397054974506,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.2199463745920207,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.6411906230607267,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.85185185185185,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.591304347826089,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3478260869565217,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.119,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22893548387096763,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.034739130434782606,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.29276895943563,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}