Yibing Wu vs Tristan Boyer
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yibing Wu
Yibing …: 79,7% Tristan …: 20,3%
¿Por qué Yibing Wu?
UTR 15,13 vs 14,33 (+0,45) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yibing … Tristan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
Gamdom 1,36 3,20 73,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 4,94 79,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Yibing …: +4,7% Tristan …: -4,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yibing Wu
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #74
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/31 = 74,2%
Tristan Boyer
Ranking #181
UTR Rating 14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking #242
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/23 = 52,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 13,0000
rank_ratio 1,0774
log_rank_ratio 0,0745
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 21,0000
best_rank_diff 52,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 22,0196
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 17,2928
surface_matches_ratio 1,3478
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 74,1935
surface_wr_p2 52,1739
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,8519
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4839
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,5642
first_serve_won_diff -0,3304
second_serve_won_diff 4,5913
bp_saved_diff 0,0739
bp_converted_diff 10,6478
aces_per_match_diff -0,3240
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,1190
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7200
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 12,3254
serve_consistency_p2 3,2199
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,6412
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2289
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0347
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4500
utr_p1 0,7918
utr_p2 0,7388
utr_advantage 3,1024
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23054
API ID 15366396
Gamdom ID 598567
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23054,
    "api_id": 15366396,
    "gamdom_id": 598567,
    "player1": "Yibing Wu",
    "player2": "Tristan Boyer",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.36,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7974,
    "prob_p2": 0.2026,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7974,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 15.13,
      "utr_ranking": 74,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 181,
      "utr_singles": 14.33,
      "utr_ranking": 242,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.13,
      "ranking": 74,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.33,
      "ranking": 242,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.791764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.7388235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.45000000000000107,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0773809523809523,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 21,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.07391304347825667,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 74.19354838709677,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
    "utr_advantage": 3.102378490175809,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 52,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.07453305186256677,
    "rank_advantage": 13,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 22.01963534361851,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.64782608695652,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.5642075736325296,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.72,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.32398316970546936,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.3304347826087053,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4838709677419355,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.325397054974506,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.2199463745920207,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.6411906230607267,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.85185185185185,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.591304347826089,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3478260869565217,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.119,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22893548387096763,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.034739130434782606,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.29276895943563,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}