Lin Zhu vs Marina Stakusic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 05:45
15 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marina Stakusic
Lin …: 35,7%
Marina …: 64,3%
¿Por qué Marina Stakusic?
UTR 11,79 vs 11,97
(-0,27)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lin … | Marina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,67 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,16 | 1,73 | 46,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,80 | 1,56 | 35,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lin …: -8,5%
Marina …: +8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lin Zhu
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Marina Stakusic
Ranking
#127
UTR Rating
11,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#116
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -36,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7791 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2496 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -135,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 83,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,5287 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5600 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,2759 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,7674 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,5920 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,2280 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,9280 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,0457 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,0030 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5484 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4719 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,6110 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,2835 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0354 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0560 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,2794 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23058
API ID
15366182
Gamdom ID
597714
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23058,
"api_id": 15366182,
"gamdom_id": 597714,
"player1": "Lin Zhu",
"player2": "Marina Stakusic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T01:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.6666666666666665
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.16,
"p2": 1.73
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.09,
"p2": 1.7
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3573,
"prob_p2": 0.6427,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6427,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 11.79,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 127,
"utr_singles": 11.97,
"utr_ranking": 116,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.79,
"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.97,
"ranking": 116,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.2699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.7791411042944786,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": -135,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.2279999999999944,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.0,
"utr_advantage": -2.2794428028704057,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 83,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.249563114348171,
"rank_advantage": -36,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.142857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.9280000000000044,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.7674285714285745,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5483870967741935,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.04571428571428582,
"combined_confidence": 0.6599999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.591999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.471926056331233,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.611041205082339,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.283467445219166,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.275862068965516,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.3999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.56,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.0030000000000143,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03542857142857142,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05600000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.528735632183908,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}