Lin Zhu vs Marina Stakusic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marina Stakusic
Lin …: 35,7% Marina …: 64,3%
¿Por qué Marina Stakusic?
UTR 11,79 vs 11,97 (-0,27) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lin … Marina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,67 47,6%
Gamdom 2,16 1,73 46,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,80 1,56 35,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Lin …: -8,5% Marina …: +8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lin Zhu
Ranking #164
UTR Rating 11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #159
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Marina Stakusic
Ranking #127
UTR Rating 11,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #116
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -36,0000
rank_ratio 0,7791
log_rank_ratio -0,2496
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -135,0000
best_rank_diff 83,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,5287
surface_matches_ratio 0,5600
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 48,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,4444
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,2759
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,6600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,7674
first_serve_won_diff -5,5920
second_serve_won_diff 0,4000
bp_saved_diff 1,2280
bp_converted_diff -2,9280
aces_per_match_diff -0,0457
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,0030
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5484
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 8,4719
serve_consistency_p2 11,6110
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,2835
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0354
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0560
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2700
utr_p1 0,4365
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage -2,2794
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23058
API ID 15366182
Gamdom ID 597714
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23058,
    "api_id": 15366182,
    "gamdom_id": 597714,
    "player1": "Lin Zhu",
    "player2": "Marina Stakusic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T01:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.6666666666666665
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.16,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.09,
      "p2": 1.7
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3573,
    "prob_p2": 0.6427,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6427,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 164,
      "utr_singles": 11.79,
      "utr_ranking": 159,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 127,
      "utr_singles": 11.97,
      "utr_ranking": 116,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.79,
      "ranking": 159,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.97,
      "ranking": 116,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4364705882352942,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.2699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7791411042944786,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": -135,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.2279999999999944,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.2794428028704057,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 83,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.249563114348171,
    "rank_advantage": -36,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.142857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.9280000000000044,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.7674285714285745,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5483870967741935,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.04571428571428582,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6599999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.591999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.471926056331233,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.611041205082339,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.283467445219166,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.275862068965516,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.3999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.56,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.0030000000000143,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03542857142857142,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05600000000000005,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.528735632183908,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}