Nikola Bartunkova vs Whitney Osuigwe
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 05:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikola Bartunkova
Nikola …: 68,1% Whitney …: 31,9%
¿Por qué Nikola Bartunkova?
UTR 11,99 vs 11,51 (+0,53) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nikola … Whitney … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,58 2,45 63,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,47 3,13 68,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Nikola …: -0,7% Whitney …: +0,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikola Bartunkova
Ranking #126
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 5/9 = 55,6%
Whitney Osuigwe
Ranking #152
UTR Rating 11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #268
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 26,0000
rank_ratio 1,2063
log_rank_ratio 0,1876
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 111,0000
best_rank_diff -21,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,8889
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,5175
surface_matches_ratio 0,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,0171
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,8789
first_serve_won_diff 9,5111
second_serve_won_diff 2,0778
bp_saved_diff 1,9444
bp_converted_diff -2,9222
aces_per_match_diff 2,2500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,3000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 10,9412
serve_consistency_p2 3,4738
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,6055
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0296
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0573
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5300
utr_p1 0,4694
utr_p2 0,4071
utr_advantage 4,5203
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23059
API ID 15366310
Gamdom ID 597743
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23059,
    "api_id": 15366310,
    "gamdom_id": 597743,
    "player1": "Nikola Bartunkova",
    "player2": "Whitney Osuigwe",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T01:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.45
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6809,
    "prob_p2": 0.3191,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6809,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 126,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 152,
      "utr_singles": 11.51,
      "utr_ranking": 268,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.51,
      "ranking": 268,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": 0.5299999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2063492063492063,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 111,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.94444444444445,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": 4.52025586353944,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -21,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.18759861389479834,
    "rank_advantage": 26,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.888888888888886,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.922222222222217,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.878888888888895,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.25,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.51111111111112,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.941223852509422,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.473768098553065,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.605536304094421,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.01709401709402,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.077777777777783,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.300000000000011,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.029555555555555557,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.057333333333333236,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.5175213675213675,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}