Zhuoxuan Bai vs Darja Vidmanova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 05:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Darja Vidmanova
Zhuoxuan …: 26,9% Darja …: 73,1%
¿Por qué Darja Vidmanova?
Zhuoxuan …
W3-L4
43% WR
vs UTR 11,1
L1
Darja …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zhuoxuan … Darja … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
Gamdom 2,80 1,47 35,7%
IA Fair Odds 3,72 1,37 26,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Zhuoxuan …: -6,9% Darja …: +6,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zhuoxuan Bai
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #497
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Hard 2/3 = 66,7%
Darja Vidmanova
Ranking #142
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/6 = 66,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Zhuoxuan Bai
Record 2025 3W - 4L (43%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,1
Últimos 5:
L W W L L
Darja Vidmanova
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -358,0000
rank_ratio 0,2840
log_rank_ratio -1,2588
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -509,0000
best_rank_diff -360,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,4114
surface_matches_ratio 0,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,8095
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,6667
p1_surface_matches 3,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3400
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,3633
first_serve_won_diff -5,1000
second_serve_won_diff -11,6000
bp_saved_diff -7,0000
bp_converted_diff 19,5000
aces_per_match_diff -2,1667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,6900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,7465
serve_consistency_p2 6,9534
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,5247
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1913
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3294
utr_p2 0,3294
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23060
API ID 15366378
Gamdom ID 597896
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23060,
    "api_id": 15366378,
    "gamdom_id": 597896,
    "player1": "Zhuoxuan Bai",
    "player2": "Darja Vidmanova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T01:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.8,
      "p2": 1.47
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.65,
      "p2": 1.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2686,
    "prob_p2": 0.7314,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7314,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 497,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 3,
      "utr_v4_losses": 4,
      "utr_v4_wr": 42.857142857142854,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.09,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.8,
          "opponent_name": "Dominika Salkova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.75,
          "opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Ann Li"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jiaqi Wang"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.98,
          "opponent_name": "Priska Madelyn Nugroho"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:09.074347+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 142,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 497,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.32941176470588246,
    "utr_p2": 0.32941176470588246,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.284,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -509,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -360,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.258781040820931,
    "rank_advantage": -358,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 19.499999999999993,
    "p1_surface_matches": 3,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.363333333333351,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.1666666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.100000000000016,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.746492102853571,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.9534211087745055,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.809523809523796,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -11.600000000000009,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.6899999999999977,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.5246666666666665,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.19133333333333347,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.41142857142856737,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}