Zhuoxuan Bai vs Darja Vidmanova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 05:25
15 Ene 2026, 05:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Darja Vidmanova
Zhuoxuan …: 26,9%
Darja …: 73,1%
¿Por qué Darja Vidmanova?
Zhuoxuan …
W3-L4
43% WR
vs UTR 11,1
L1
Darja …
Sin datos
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Zhuoxuan … | Darja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,40 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,80 | 1,47 | 35,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,72 | 1,37 | 26,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Zhuoxuan …: -6,9%
Darja …: +6,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zhuoxuan Bai
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#497
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Darja Vidmanova
Ranking
#142
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/6 = 66,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Zhuoxuan Bai
Record 2025
3W - 4L (43%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11,1
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
L
Darja Vidmanova
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -358,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2840 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2588 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -509,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -360,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,4114 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,8095 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,3633 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -11,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 19,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,1667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,6900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,7465 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9534 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,5247 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1913 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3294 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23060
API ID
15366378
Gamdom ID
597896
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23060,
"api_id": 15366378,
"gamdom_id": 597896,
"player1": "Zhuoxuan Bai",
"player2": "Darja Vidmanova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T01:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.8,
"p2": 1.47
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.65,
"p2": 1.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2686,
"prob_p2": 0.7314,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7314,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 497,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 3,
"utr_v4_losses": 4,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.09,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.8,
"opponent_name": "Dominika Salkova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.75,
"opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.3,
"opponent_name": "Ann Li"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Jiaqi Wang"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.98,
"opponent_name": "Priska Madelyn Nugroho"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:09.074347+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 142,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 497,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.32941176470588246,
"utr_p2": 0.32941176470588246,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.284,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -509,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -360,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.258781040820931,
"rank_advantage": -358,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 19.499999999999993,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.363333333333351,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.1666666666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.100000000000016,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.746492102853571,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.9534211087745055,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -11.600000000000009,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.6899999999999977,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.5246666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.19133333333333347,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.41142857142856737,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}