Tamara Zidansek vs Yue Yuan
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Zidansek
Tamara …: 52,6% Yue …: 47,4%
¿Por qué Tamara Zidansek?
UTR 11,85 vs 12,04 (-0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tamara … Yue … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,90 1,44 34,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,90 2,11 52,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Tamara …: +17,1% Yue …: -17,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Zidansek
Ranking #151
UTR Rating 11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #140
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 5/8 = 62,5%
Yue Yuan
Ranking #130
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #95
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 8/25 = 32,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -21,0000
rank_ratio 0,8609
log_rank_ratio -0,1497
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -75,0000
best_rank_diff 14,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 30,5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,3407
surface_matches_ratio 0,3200
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 32,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 34,4828
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,6200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,7543
first_serve_won_diff 0,9000
second_serve_won_diff 2,9190
bp_saved_diff 6,7990
bp_converted_diff 10,6000
aces_per_match_diff -1,0400
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6071
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7872
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1667
serve_consistency_p1 4,4337
serve_consistency_p2 17,1663
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,5672
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1460
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2010
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1600
utr_p1 0,4565
utr_p2 0,4753
utr_advantage -1,3378
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23061
API ID 15366397
Gamdom ID 598572
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23061,
    "api_id": 15366397,
    "gamdom_id": 598572,
    "player1": "Tamara Zidansek",
    "player2": "Yue Yuan",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T03:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.9,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.78,
      "p2": 1.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5257,
    "prob_p2": 0.4743,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5257,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 151,
      "utr_singles": 11.85,
      "utr_ranking": 140,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 130,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 95,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 32.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.85,
      "ranking": 140,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 95,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4564705882352942,
    "utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_diff": -0.15999999999999837,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8609271523178808,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": -75,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.7989999999999995,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 32.0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.3377926421404545,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 14,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.14974538635934195,
    "rank_advantage": -21,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 30.5,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.599999999999994,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.7542999999999935,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7872340425531915,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.04,
    "combined_confidence": 0.62,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.9000000000000057,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.433692309186701,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 17.16631571744693,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.567234283959929,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.48275862068966,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.918999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.32,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14600000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.201,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.340689655172412,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}