Tamara Zidansek vs Yue Yuan
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:20
15 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Zidansek
Tamara …: 52,6%
Yue …: 47,4%
¿Por qué Tamara Zidansek?
UTR 11,85 vs 12,04
(-0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tamara … | Yue … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,90 | 1,44 | 34,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,90 | 2,11 | 52,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tamara …: +17,1%
Yue …: -17,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Zidansek
Ranking
#151
UTR Rating
11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#140
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
5/8 = 62,5%
Yue Yuan
Ranking
#130
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#95
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/25 = 32,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -21,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8609 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1497 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -75,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,3407 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3200 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 34,4828 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,7543 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,9190 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,7990 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0400 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6071 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7872 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,4337 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 17,1663 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,5672 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1460 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2010 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3378 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23061
API ID
15366397
Gamdom ID
598572
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23061,
"api_id": 15366397,
"gamdom_id": 598572,
"player1": "Tamara Zidansek",
"player2": "Yue Yuan",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T03:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.9,
"p2": 1.44
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.78,
"p2": 1.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5257,
"prob_p2": 0.4743,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5257,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": 11.85,
"utr_ranking": 140,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 130,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 95,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 32.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.85,
"ranking": 140,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 95,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4564705882352942,
"utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_diff": -0.15999999999999837,
"rank_ratio": 0.8609271523178808,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -75,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.7989999999999995,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 32.0,
"utr_advantage": -1.3377926421404545,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 14,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.14974538635934195,
"rank_advantage": -21,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 30.5,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.599999999999994,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.7542999999999935,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7872340425531915,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.04,
"combined_confidence": 0.62,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.9000000000000057,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.433692309186701,
"serve_consistency_p2": 17.16631571744693,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.567234283959929,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.48275862068966,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.918999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.32,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14600000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.201,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.340689655172412,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}