Taylor Townsend vs Storm Hunter
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:20
15 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Townsend
Taylor …: 87,8%
Storm …: 12,2%
¿Por qué Taylor Townsend?
UTR 12,25 vs 11,54
(+0,81)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Taylor … | Storm … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,36 | 3,25 | 73,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,14 | 8,21 | 87,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Taylor …: +23,3%
Storm …: -23,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Townsend
Ranking
#116
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
15/24 = 62,5%
Storm Hunter
Ranking
#367
UTR Rating
11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#266
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 247,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,1293 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1408 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 483,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 68,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 20,5952 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 6,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 20,6433 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 11,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 13,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 22,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,5417 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,9110 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,2325 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,4640 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 42,7805 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1220 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0030 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 37,5000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,8268 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23062
API ID
15366416
Gamdom ID
598609
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23062,
"api_id": 15366416,
"gamdom_id": 598609,
"player1": "Taylor Townsend",
"player2": "Storm Hunter",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T03:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.36,
"p2": 3.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.51
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8782,
"prob_p2": 0.1218,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8782,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 116,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 48,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 367,
"utr_singles": 11.54,
"utr_ranking": 266,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 48,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 266,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_diff": 0.8099999999999987,
"rank_ratio": 3.1293103448275863,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 483,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 22.699999999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -14.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 6.8268015170669925,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 68,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1408126431584862,
"rank_advantage": 247,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 37.5,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.8999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 20.643333333333338,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.541666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.5766666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 11.200000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.232512970794502,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.464000226307855,
"surface_rank_synergy": 42.78047411844323,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.71428571428571,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 25.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 13.200000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 6.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.911000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 37.5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.122,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0030000000000000027,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.59523809523809,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}