Taylor Townsend vs Storm Hunter
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Townsend
Taylor …: 87,8% Storm …: 12,2%
¿Por qué Taylor Townsend?
UTR 12,25 vs 11,54 (+0,81) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Taylor … Storm … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,36 3,25 73,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,14 8,21 87,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Taylor …: +23,3% Storm …: -23,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Townsend
Ranking #116
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #48
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 15/24 = 62,5%
Storm Hunter
Ranking #367
UTR Rating 11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #266
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 247,0000
rank_ratio 3,1293
log_rank_ratio 1,1408
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 483,0000
best_rank_diff 68,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 37,5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 20,5952
surface_matches_ratio 6,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,7143
surface_wr_p2_stable 25,0000
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,5767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 20,6433
first_serve_won_diff 11,2000
second_serve_won_diff 13,2000
bp_saved_diff 22,7000
bp_converted_diff -0,9000
aces_per_match_diff 5,5417
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,9110
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 7,2325
serve_consistency_p2 12,4640
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 42,7805
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1220
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0030
elite_surface_amplifier 37,5000
UTR
utr_diff 0,8100
utr_p1 0,5024
utr_p2 0,4071
utr_advantage 6,8268
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23062
API ID 15366416
Gamdom ID 598609
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23062,
    "api_id": 15366416,
    "gamdom_id": 598609,
    "player1": "Taylor Townsend",
    "player2": "Storm Hunter",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T03:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.36,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8782,
    "prob_p2": 0.1218,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8782,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 116,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 48,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 367,
      "utr_singles": 11.54,
      "utr_ranking": 266,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.25,
      "ranking": 48,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.54,
      "ranking": 266,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5023529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": 0.8099999999999987,
    "rank_ratio": 3.1293103448275863,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 483,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 22.699999999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -14.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 6.8268015170669925,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 68,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1408126431584862,
    "rank_advantage": 247,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 37.5,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.8999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 24,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 20.643333333333338,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.541666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5766666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 11.200000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.232512970794502,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.464000226307855,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 42.78047411844323,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.71428571428571,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 25.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 13.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 6.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.911000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 37.5,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.122,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0030000000000000027,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.59523809523809,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}