Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jakub Mensik
Auckland | Hard | Quarterfinals
16 Ene 2026, 02:00
16 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Giovanni …: 26,3%
Jakub …: 73,7%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
UTR 15,16 vs 15,40
(-0,15)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Giovanni … | Jakub … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,29 | 1,63 | 43,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,80 | 1,36 | 26,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Giovanni …: -18,8%
Jakub …: +18,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#71
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Jakub Mensik
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#37
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2528 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1260,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,6429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -16,7824 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,3677 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,6375 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,7536 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,1179 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,0321 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,1875 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 23,6500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0412 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1710 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4737 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6190 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,7962 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8380 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 24,6078 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0264 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0800 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8553 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8729 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9775 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23066
API ID
15327185
Gamdom ID
579405
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23066,
"api_id": 15327185,
"gamdom_id": 579405,
"player1": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
"player2": "Jakub Mensik",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.29,
"p2": 1.63
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.24,
"p2": 1.64
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2634,
"prob_p2": 0.7366,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7366,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 61,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 71,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 15.4,
"utr_ranking": 37,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 71,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.4,
"ranking": 37,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8552941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
"utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 0.2857142857142857,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -1260,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.11785714285713311,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": -0.9775171065493671,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -13,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.252762968495368,
"rank_advantage": -45,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47368421052631576,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.642857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.032142857142858,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.36767857142857,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.041237113402062,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1709844559585492,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.1875,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.6374999999999886,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.796156065980749,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.83795511421255,
"surface_rank_synergy": 24.607844024016163,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.753571428571433,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.875,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 23.64999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.026428571428571412,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07999999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.782407407407412,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}