Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jakub Mensik
Auckland | Hard | Quarterfinals
16 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Giovanni …: 26,3% Jakub …: 73,7%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
UTR 15,16 vs 15,40 (-0,15) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Giovanni … Jakub … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 2,29 1,63 43,7%
IA Fair Odds 3,80 1,36 26,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Giovanni …: -18,8% Jakub …: +18,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #71
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Jakub Mensik
Ranking #17
UTR Rating 15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #37
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -45,0000
rank_ratio 0,2857
log_rank_ratio -1,2528
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1260,0000
best_rank_diff -13,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -19,6429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -16,7824
surface_matches_ratio 0,8750
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,1111
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,3677
first_serve_won_diff -0,6375
second_serve_won_diff 7,7536
bp_saved_diff -0,1179
bp_converted_diff -7,0321
aces_per_match_diff -3,1875
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 23,6500
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0412
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1710
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4737
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6190
serve_consistency_p1 2,7962
serve_consistency_p2 6,8380
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 24,6078
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0264
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0800
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1500
utr_p1 0,8553
utr_p2 0,8729
utr_advantage -0,9775
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23066
API ID 15327185
Gamdom ID 579405
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23066,
    "api_id": 15327185,
    "gamdom_id": 579405,
    "player1": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
    "player2": "Jakub Mensik",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-15T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.29,
      "p2": 1.63
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.24,
      "p2": 1.64
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2634,
    "prob_p2": 0.7366,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7366,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 71,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 17,
      "utr_singles": 15.4,
      "utr_ranking": 37,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 71,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.4,
      "ranking": 37,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8552941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
    "utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2857142857142857,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -1260,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.11785714285713311,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9775171065493671,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -13,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.252762968495368,
    "rank_advantage": -45,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47368421052631576,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -19.642857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.032142857142858,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.36767857142857,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.041237113402062,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1709844559585492,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.1875,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.6374999999999886,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.796156065980749,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.83795511421255,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 24.607844024016163,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.753571428571433,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.875,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 23.64999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.026428571428571412,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07999999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.782407407407412,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}