Diana Shnaider vs Emma Navarro
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 08:30
15 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Navarro
Diana …: 38,9%
Emma …: 61,1%
¿Por qué Emma Navarro?
UTR 12,43 vs 12,31
(-0,04)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Diana … | Emma … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,80 | 2,07 | 55,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,57 | 1,64 | 38,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Diana …: -13,7%
Emma …: +13,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Diana Shnaider
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Emma Navarro
Ranking
#15
UTR Rating
12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -8,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6522 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4274 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -649,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,9629 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,3282 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9394 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,7568 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,1724 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,1545 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,1455 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,9364 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,3909 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3030 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 17,3140 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8855 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6980 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4265 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9821 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,5488 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0241 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0678 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5141 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,3239 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23067
API ID
15328452
Gamdom ID
580610
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23067,
"api_id": 15328452,
"gamdom_id": 580610,
"player1": "Diana Shnaider",
"player2": "Emma Navarro",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.07
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.77,
"p2": 2.03
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3889,
"prob_p2": 0.6111,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6111,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.43,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.31,
"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.5141176470588235,
"utr_diff": -0.03999999999999915,
"rank_ratio": 0.6521739130434783,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -649,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.936363636363637,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
"utr_advantage": -0.3238866396761064,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4274440148269396,
"rank_advantage": -8,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.9628543499511295,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.3909090909090907,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.172424242424242,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854961832061069,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6979591836734694,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.303030303030303,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.1545454545454632,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.426541819020022,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.982083771024103,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.548786403171392,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.145454545454541,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9393939393939394,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 17.313999999999993,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02412903225806451,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0677575757575758,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.328185328185334,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}