Mirra Andreeva vs Maya Joint
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 12:00
15 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 80,3%
Maya …: 19,7%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,15
(+0,48)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mirra … | Maya … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,33 | 82,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,19 | 5,00 | 84,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,24 | 5,08 | 80,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mirra …: +2,3%
Maya …: -2,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Maya Joint
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#68
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
29/47 = 61,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 24,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3863 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2742,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13,2979 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,4379 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6809 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,7021 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,7843 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,0601 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,0915 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,2021 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,0511 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,1769 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,4150 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7446 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4054 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7778 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8250 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,5881 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18,4348 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2260 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1410 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 26,5957 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8647 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23068
API ID
15328442
Gamdom ID
580608
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23068,
"api_id": 15328442,
"gamdom_id": 580608,
"player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
"player2": "Maya Joint",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 5.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.82
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8033,
"prob_p2": 0.1967,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8033,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 12.64,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 68,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.702127659574465,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.64,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 68,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_diff": 0.4800000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 4.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 2742,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.500000000000007,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.702127659574465,
"utr_advantage": 3.8647342995169116,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 27,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.3862943611198906,
"rank_advantage": 24,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.297872340425535,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.051063829787239,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.06010638297873,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.40540540540540543,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.1768617021276597,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.091489361702131,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.825001261440894,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.588074113847803,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.43476544042408,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.78431372549019,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.2021276595744723,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6808510638297872,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.414999999999992,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 26.59574468085107,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22599999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1410212765957447,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.437908496732021,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}