Mirra Andreeva vs Maya Joint
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 80,3% Maya …: 19,7%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,15 (+0,48) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mirra … Maya … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,33 82,0%
Gamdom 1,19 5,00 84,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,08 80,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Mirra …: +2,3% Maya …: -2,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Maya Joint
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #68
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 29/47 = 61,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 24,0000
rank_ratio 4,0000
log_rank_ratio 1,3863
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2742,0000
best_rank_diff 27,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,2979
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,4379
surface_matches_ratio 0,6809
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 61,7021
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,7843
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 47,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,0601
first_serve_won_diff 6,0915
second_serve_won_diff 2,2021
bp_saved_diff 5,5000
bp_converted_diff 2,0511
aces_per_match_diff 2,1769
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,4150
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7446
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4054
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7778
serve_consistency_p1 7,8250
serve_consistency_p2 11,5881
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 18,4348
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2260
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1410
elite_surface_amplifier 26,5957
UTR
utr_diff 0,4800
utr_p1 0,5482
utr_p2 0,4918
utr_advantage 3,8647
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23068
API ID 15328442
Gamdom ID 580608
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23068,
    "api_id": 15328442,
    "gamdom_id": 580608,
    "player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
    "player2": "Maya Joint",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-15T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.82
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8033,
    "prob_p2": 0.1967,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8033,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 12.64,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 31,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 68,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.702127659574465,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.64,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 68,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.4800000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 4.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 2742,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.500000000000007,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.702127659574465,
    "utr_advantage": 3.8647342995169116,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 27,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.3862943611198906,
    "rank_advantage": 24,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.297872340425535,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.051063829787239,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 47,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.06010638297873,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.40540540540540543,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.1768617021276597,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.091489361702131,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.825001261440894,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.588074113847803,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 18.43476544042408,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.78431372549019,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.2021276595744723,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6808510638297872,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.414999999999992,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 26.59574468085107,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22599999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1410212765957447,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.437908496732021,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}