Antonia Ružić vs Olga Danilovic
Hobart | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 12:30
15 Ene 2026, 12:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Antonia Ružić
Antonia …: 61,2%
Olga …: 38,8%
¿Por qué Antonia Ružić?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Antonia … | Olga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,63 | 2,58 | 61,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Antonia …: +11,2%
Olga …: -11,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Antonia Ružić
Ranking
#65
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Olga Danilovic
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
12,27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9577 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0432 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -32,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -37,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,0926 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,7356 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,2500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2437 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,2781 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,5406 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4688 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,1040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8450 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,8001 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,3723 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,5397 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0655 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0655 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5035 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5035 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23069
API ID
15328395
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23069,
"api_id": 15328395,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
"player2": "Olga Danilovic",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T08:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6124,
"prob_p2": 0.3876,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6124,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 69,
"utr_singles": 12.27,
"utr_ranking": 48,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.27,
"ranking": 48,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5035294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.9577464788732394,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -32,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.278125000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -37,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.04317217186520878,
"rank_advantage": -3,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.5,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.540625000000006,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.735625000000006,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8449612403100775,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.46875,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.25,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.8001194113863,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.37227402818694,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.5396521483151098,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.2437499999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.103999999999985,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0655,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0655,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.092592592592593,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}