Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Preston
Hobart | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 08:55
15 Ene 2026, 08:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Raducanu
Emma …: 80,7%
Taylah …: 19,3%
¿Por qué Emma Raducanu?
UTR 12,59 vs 11,50
(+1,17)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emma … | Taylah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,40 | 75,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,30 | 3,65 | 76,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,24 | 5,17 | 80,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Emma …: +8,8%
Taylah …: -8,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emma Raducanu
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Taylah Preston
Ranking
#161
UTR Rating
11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#275
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 175,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7,0345 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,9508 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1209,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 124,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,6588 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,9733 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,1667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -35,6550 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7172 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0062 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,9211 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 13,0055 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1083 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1750 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 20,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4024 | |
| utr_advantage | 9,7459 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23070
API ID
15328392
Gamdom ID
580584
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23070,
"api_id": 15328392,
"gamdom_id": 580584,
"player1": "Emma Raducanu",
"player2": "Taylah Preston",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T04:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.7
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8067,
"prob_p2": 0.1933,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8067,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 12.59,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 161,
"utr_singles": 11.5,
"utr_ranking": 275,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.59,
"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.5,
"ranking": 275,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.54,
"utr_p2": 0.4023529411764706,
"utr_diff": 1.17,
"rank_ratio": 7.0344827586206895,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 1209,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.599999999999987,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -37.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 9.745939192003332,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 124,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.9508241638577424,
"rank_advantage": 175,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.666666666666664,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.20000000000000284,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.973333333333329,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7171717171717171,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.166666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.8000000000000043,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.006235531232807,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.921125043116814,
"surface_rank_synergy": 13.005494425718277,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.8000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -35.655,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 19.999999999999993,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10833333333333339,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17500000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.658823529411768,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}