Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Preston
Hobart | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 08:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Raducanu
Emma …: 80,7% Taylah …: 19,3%
¿Por qué Emma Raducanu?
UTR 12,59 vs 11,50 (+1,17) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emma … Taylah … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,40 75,2%
Gamdom 1,30 3,65 76,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,17 80,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Emma …: +8,8% Taylah …: -8,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emma Raducanu
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Taylah Preston
Ranking #161
UTR Rating 11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #275
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 175,0000
rank_ratio 7,0345
log_rank_ratio 1,9508
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1209,0000
best_rank_diff 124,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,6588
surface_matches_ratio 5,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,6667
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,8824
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3333
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,9733
first_serve_won_diff 2,8000
second_serve_won_diff 0,8000
bp_saved_diff 7,6000
bp_converted_diff 0,2000
aces_per_match_diff 3,1667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -35,6550
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7172
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5455
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0062
serve_consistency_p2 4,9211
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 13,0055
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1083
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1750
elite_surface_amplifier 20,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,1700
utr_p1 0,5400
utr_p2 0,4024
utr_advantage 9,7459
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23070
API ID 15328392
Gamdom ID 580584
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23070,
    "api_id": 15328392,
    "gamdom_id": 580584,
    "player1": "Emma Raducanu",
    "player2": "Taylah Preston",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-15T04:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.7
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8067,
    "prob_p2": 0.1933,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8067,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 12.59,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 161,
      "utr_singles": 11.5,
      "utr_ranking": 275,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.59,
      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.5,
      "ranking": 275,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.54,
    "utr_p2": 0.4023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 1.17,
    "rank_ratio": 7.0344827586206895,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 1209,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.599999999999987,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -37.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 9.745939192003332,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 124,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.9508241638577424,
    "rank_advantage": 175,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.666666666666664,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.20000000000000284,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.973333333333329,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7171717171717171,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.166666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.8000000000000043,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.006235531232807,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.921125043116814,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 13.005494425718277,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.8000000000000043,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -35.655,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 19.999999999999993,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10833333333333339,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17500000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.658823529411768,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}