Iva Jovic vs Magda Linette
Hobart | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 71,5% Magda …: 28,5%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,11 (+0,20) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iva … Magda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,40 75,2%
Gamdom 1,26 4,00 79,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,40 3,50 71,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Iva …: -0,4% Magda …: +0,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Magda Linette
Ranking #50
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #75
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 23,0000
rank_ratio 1,7667
log_rank_ratio 0,5691
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 407,0000
best_rank_diff -14,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 14,7708
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,0435
surface_matches_ratio 0,6129
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 48,3871
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,5714
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,2871
first_serve_won_diff -3,7903
second_serve_won_diff 6,1355
bp_saved_diff 7,6645
bp_converted_diff 9,7581
aces_per_match_diff -1,6163
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,2200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8451
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8333
serve_consistency_p1 10,9136
serve_consistency_p2 6,6919
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,4060
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1086
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0069
elite_surface_amplifier 14,7708
UTR
utr_diff 0,2000
utr_p1 0,5094
utr_p2 0,4859
utr_advantage 1,6353
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23071
API ID 15328387
Gamdom ID 580574
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23071,
    "api_id": 15328387,
    "gamdom_id": 580574,
    "player1": "Iva Jovic",
    "player2": "Magda Linette",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-15T10:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.87
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7146,
    "prob_p2": 0.2854,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7146,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 50,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 75,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 75,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.48588235294117654,
    "utr_diff": 0.1999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7666666666666666,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 407,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.664516129032258,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
    "utr_advantage": 1.6353229762878108,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -14,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5690945318899664,
    "rank_advantage": 23,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8333333333333334,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 14.770797962648551,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.758064516129032,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.287113752122238,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8450704225352113,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6162988115449917,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.7903225806451672,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.913608319196797,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.691927370146014,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.405980352194746,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.1354838709677395,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6129032258064516,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.2199999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 14.770797962648551,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.108578947368421,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.006870967741935519,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.043478260869573,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}