Iva Jovic vs Magda Linette
Hobart | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 14:10
15 Ene 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 71,5%
Magda …: 28,5%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,11
(+0,20)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iva … | Magda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,40 | 75,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,26 | 4,00 | 79,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,40 | 3,50 | 71,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Iva …: -0,4%
Magda …: +0,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
12/19 = 63,2%
Magda Linette
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 23,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5691 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 407,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14,7708 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,0435 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6129 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,2871 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,7903 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,1355 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,6645 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,7581 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6163 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,2200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8451 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,9136 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6919 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,4060 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1086 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0069 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 14,7708 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4859 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,6353 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23071
API ID
15328387
Gamdom ID
580574
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23071,
"api_id": 15328387,
"gamdom_id": 580574,
"player1": "Iva Jovic",
"player2": "Magda Linette",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T10:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 4.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.87
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7146,
"prob_p2": 0.2854,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7146,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 50,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 75,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.48588235294117654,
"utr_diff": 0.1999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.7666666666666666,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 407,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.664516129032258,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
"utr_advantage": 1.6353229762878108,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -14,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5690945318899664,
"rank_advantage": 23,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8333333333333334,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 14.770797962648551,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.758064516129032,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.287113752122238,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8450704225352113,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6162988115449917,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.7903225806451672,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.913608319196797,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.691927370146014,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.405980352194746,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.1354838709677395,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6129032258064516,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.2199999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 14.770797962648551,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.108578947368421,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.006870967741935519,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.043478260869573,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}