Arthur Gea vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:50
15 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Arthur …: 47,1%
Adolfo …: 52,9%
¿Por qué Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?
UTR 14,57 vs 14,78
(-0,60)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arthur … | Adolfo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,53 | 2,55 | 65,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,12 | 1,89 | 47,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Arthur …: -21,7%
Adolfo …: +21,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Gea
Ranking
#198
UTR Rating
14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#170
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Ranking
#146
UTR Rating
14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#108
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -51,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7411 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2996 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -128,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,1828 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49,1176 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,4558 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 11,3833 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,6583 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11,9833 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,0083 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,6100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,7855 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0774 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,9933 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0323 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3010 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8035 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,1294 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23072
API ID
15367279
Gamdom ID
599269
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23072,
"api_id": 15367279,
"gamdom_id": 599269,
"player1": "Arthur Gea",
"player2": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T03:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.46
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.471,
"prob_p2": 0.529,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.529,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 198,
"utr_singles": 14.57,
"utr_ranking": 170,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 146,
"utr_singles": 14.78,
"utr_ranking": 108,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.57,
"ranking": 170,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.78,
"ranking": 108,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8035294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.5999999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.7411167512690355,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -128,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.983333333333348,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": -4.129387474191326,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -54,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2995971070296521,
"rank_advantage": -51,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.008333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.455833333333338,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 11.383333333333347,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.785503506166153,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.077358893762068,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.99328511716087,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.11764705882353,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.6583333333333243,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.032333333333333214,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.30100000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.1828431372549018,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}