Arthur Gea vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Arthur …: 47,1% Adolfo …: 52,9%
¿Por qué Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?
UTR 14,57 vs 14,78 (-0,60) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arthur … Adolfo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,53 2,55 65,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,12 1,89 47,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Arthur …: -21,7% Adolfo …: +21,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Gea
Ranking #198
UTR Rating 14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #170
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Ranking #146
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #108
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -51,0000
rank_ratio 0,7411
log_rank_ratio -0,2996
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -128,0000
best_rank_diff -54,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,1828
surface_matches_ratio 3,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 49,1176
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,4067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,4558
first_serve_won_diff 11,3833
second_serve_won_diff 3,6583
bp_saved_diff 11,9833
bp_converted_diff -9,0083
aces_per_match_diff 1,3333
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,6100
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,7855
serve_consistency_p2 6,0774
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,9933
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0323
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3010
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6000
utr_p1 0,7329
utr_p2 0,8035
utr_advantage -4,1294
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23072
API ID 15367279
Gamdom ID 599269
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23072,
    "api_id": 15367279,
    "gamdom_id": 599269,
    "player1": "Arthur Gea",
    "player2": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T03:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.46
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.471,
    "prob_p2": 0.529,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.529,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 198,
      "utr_singles": 14.57,
      "utr_ranking": 170,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 146,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 108,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.57,
      "ranking": 170,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 108,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7329411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.8035294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.5999999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7411167512690355,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": -128,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 11.983333333333348,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": -4.129387474191326,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -54,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2995971070296521,
    "rank_advantage": -51,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": -9.008333333333336,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.455833333333338,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 11.383333333333347,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.785503506166153,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.077358893762068,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.99328511716087,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.11764705882353,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.6583333333333243,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.032333333333333214,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.30100000000000005,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.1828431372549018,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}