Mackenzie McDonald vs Liam Draxl
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:05
15 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mackenzie McDonald
Mackenzie …: 68,8%
Liam …: 31,2%
¿Por qué Mackenzie McDonald?
UTR 14,76 vs 14,24
(+0,48)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mackenzie … | Liam … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,37 | 3,15 | 73,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,45 | 3,21 | 68,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mackenzie …: +2,5%
Liam …: -2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#113
UTR Rating
14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
22/41 = 53,7%
Liam Draxl
Ranking
#145
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#263
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
35/56 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 32,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2832 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2493 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 117,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 76,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,8415 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,3333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7321 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,6585 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0732 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,5065 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,3554 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,4928 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,8176 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,2601 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,0383 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,7900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6410 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7647 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5630 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5948 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,2046 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0046 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1570 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8012 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,2944 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23074
API ID
15368850
Gamdom ID
599396
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23074,
"api_id": 15368850,
"gamdom_id": 599396,
"player1": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"player2": "Liam Draxl",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T03:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.37,
"p2": 3.15
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.35,
"p2": 3.12
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6881,
"prob_p2": 0.3119,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6881,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 113,
"utr_singles": 14.76,
"utr_ranking": 110,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 145,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 263,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.76,
"ranking": 110,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 263,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8011764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_diff": 0.4800000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 1.2831858407079646,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 117,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.817639372822306,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.65853658536586,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": 3.2944406314344574,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 76,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.24934592370823383,
"rank_advantage": 32,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7647058823529411,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.841463414634141,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.2601480836236902,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.5065026132404142,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6410256410256411,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.0383275261324036,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.3553571428571445,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07317073170731707,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.563009897667453,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.594758718803677,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.2045828620545054,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.66666666666667,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.4927700348432182,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7321428571428571,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.790000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.004585365853658541,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15700000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.333333333333336,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}