Mackenzie McDonald vs Liam Draxl
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mackenzie McDonald
Mackenzie …: 68,8% Liam …: 31,2%
¿Por qué Mackenzie McDonald?
UTR 14,76 vs 14,24 (+0,48) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mackenzie … Liam … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
Gamdom 1,37 3,15 73,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,45 3,21 68,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Mackenzie …: +2,5% Liam …: -2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking #113
UTR Rating 14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #110
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/41 = 53,7%
Liam Draxl
Ranking #145
UTR Rating 14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #263
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 35/56 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 32,0000
rank_ratio 1,2832
log_rank_ratio 0,2493
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 117,0000
best_rank_diff 76,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,8415
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,3333
surface_matches_ratio 0,7321
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,6585
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,6667
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 56,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0732
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,5065
first_serve_won_diff 0,3554
second_serve_won_diff -2,4928
bp_saved_diff -2,8176
bp_converted_diff -1,2601
aces_per_match_diff 2,0383
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,7900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6410
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7647
serve_consistency_p1 6,5630
serve_consistency_p2 7,5948
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,2046
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0046
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1570
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4800
utr_p1 0,8012
utr_p2 0,7447
utr_advantage 3,2944
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23074
API ID 15368850
Gamdom ID 599396
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23074,
    "api_id": 15368850,
    "gamdom_id": 599396,
    "player1": "Mackenzie McDonald",
    "player2": "Liam Draxl",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T03:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 3.15
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.35,
      "p2": 3.12
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6881,
    "prob_p2": 0.3119,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6881,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 113,
      "utr_singles": 14.76,
      "utr_ranking": 110,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 145,
      "utr_singles": 14.24,
      "utr_ranking": 263,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 56,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.76,
      "ranking": 110,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.24,
      "ranking": 263,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8011764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
    "utr_diff": 0.4800000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2831858407079646,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 117,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.817639372822306,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.65853658536586,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": 3.2944406314344574,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 76,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.24934592370823383,
    "rank_advantage": 32,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7647058823529411,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.841463414634141,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.2601480836236902,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 56,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.5065026132404142,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6410256410256411,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.0383275261324036,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.3553571428571445,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07317073170731707,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.563009897667453,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.594758718803677,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.2045828620545054,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.66666666666667,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.4927700348432182,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7321428571428571,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.790000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.004585365853658541,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15700000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.333333333333336,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}