Michael Zheng vs Lukas Klein
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 08:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Michael Zheng
Michael …: 78,4% Lukas …: 21,6%
¿Por qué Michael Zheng?
UTR 14,75 vs 14,51 (+0,20) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Michael … Lukas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,48 2,70 67,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,28 4,62 78,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Michael …: +13,9% Lukas …: -13,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michael Zheng
Ranking #174
UTR Rating 14,75 General
UTR Ranking #124
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 22/29 = 75,9%
Lukas Klein
Ranking #136
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #170
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 9/23 = 39,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -38,0000
rank_ratio 0,7816
log_rank_ratio -0,2464
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -107,0000
best_rank_diff -65,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 36,7316
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 27,7217
surface_matches_ratio 1,2609
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,8621
surface_wr_p2 39,1304
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,7273
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,7407
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5172
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,5101
first_serve_won_diff 1,0022
second_serve_won_diff 1,1471
bp_saved_diff 14,3328
bp_converted_diff 8,6625
aces_per_match_diff -0,6777
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 79,5918
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 9,5918
weighted_momentum_diff 5,2458
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8511
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 4,0214
serve_consistency_p2 6,3864
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -9,0507
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2966
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1467
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2000
utr_p1 0,7894
utr_p2 0,7659
utr_advantage 1,3689
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23075
API ID 15367594
Gamdom ID 599349
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23075,
    "api_id": 15367594,
    "gamdom_id": 599349,
    "player1": "Michael Zheng",
    "player2": "Lukas Klein",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T04:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.46,
      "p2": 2.64
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7836,
    "prob_p2": 0.2164,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7836,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 124,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.86206896551724,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 136,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 170,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 124,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 170,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7894117647058825,
    "utr_p2": 0.7658823529411765,
    "utr_diff": 0.20000000000000107,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7816091954022989,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -107,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 14.332833583208398,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.35,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 9.59183673469387,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.86206896551724,
    "surface_wr_p2": 39.130434782608695,
    "utr_advantage": 1.3689253935660581,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -65,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.24640041347847697,
    "rank_advantage": -38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 36.73163418290854,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.662518740629686,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.5100749625187504,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.851063829787234,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6776611694152921,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.0022488755622163,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5172413793103449,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.021429643062035,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.386449174976257,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -9.050689850408823,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.74074074074074,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.1470764617691103,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2608695652173914,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.2458163265306155,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2966206896551724,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14669565217391306,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 27.721661054994396,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}