Michael Zheng vs Lukas Klein
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 08:15
15 Ene 2026, 08:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Michael Zheng
Michael …: 78,4%
Lukas …: 21,6%
¿Por qué Michael Zheng?
UTR 14,75 vs 14,51
(+0,20)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Michael … | Lukas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,48 | 2,70 | 67,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,28 | 4,62 | 78,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Michael …: +13,9%
Lukas …: -13,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michael Zheng
Ranking
#174
UTR Rating
14,75 General
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
22/29 = 75,9%
Lukas Klein
Ranking
#136
UTR Rating
14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#170
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/23 = 39,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7816 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2464 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -107,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -65,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 36,7316 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 27,7217 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2609 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,8621 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39,1304 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,7273 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,7407 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5172 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,5101 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,0022 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,1471 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 14,3328 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,6625 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6777 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 79,5918 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 9,5918 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,2458 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8511 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,0214 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3864 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -9,0507 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2966 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1467 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7659 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,3689 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23075
API ID
15367594
Gamdom ID
599349
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23075,
"api_id": 15367594,
"gamdom_id": 599349,
"player1": "Michael Zheng",
"player2": "Lukas Klein",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T04:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.48,
"p2": 2.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.46,
"p2": 2.64
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7836,
"prob_p2": 0.2164,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7836,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.86206896551724,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 136,
"utr_singles": 14.51,
"utr_ranking": 170,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 124,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.51,
"ranking": 170,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7658823529411765,
"utr_diff": 0.20000000000000107,
"rank_ratio": 0.7816091954022989,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -107,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.332833583208398,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.35,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 9.59183673469387,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.86206896551724,
"surface_wr_p2": 39.130434782608695,
"utr_advantage": 1.3689253935660581,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -65,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.24640041347847697,
"rank_advantage": -38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 36.73163418290854,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.662518740629686,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.5100749625187504,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.851063829787234,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6776611694152921,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.0022488755622163,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5172413793103449,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.021429643062035,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.386449174976257,
"surface_rank_synergy": -9.050689850408823,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.74074074074074,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.1470764617691103,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2608695652173914,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.2458163265306155,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2966206896551724,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14669565217391306,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 27.721661054994396,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}