Alexander Blockx vs Jason Kubler
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 09:00
15 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Blockx
Alexander …: 59,7%
Jason …: 40,3%
¿Por qué Alexander Blockx?
UTR 15,08 vs 14,77
(+0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Jason … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,40 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,30 | 3,55 | 76,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,68 | 2,48 | 59,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -12,7%
Jason …: +12,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Blockx
Ranking
#96
UTR Rating
15,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
37/53 = 69,8%
Jason Kubler
Ranking
#194
UTR Rating
14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#115
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/26 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 97,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0211 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7036 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 348,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -32,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,2729 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,8596 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0385 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,8113 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 53,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3962 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,0585 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,8811 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,6566 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,1604 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,2990 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,7300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,0099 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,2790 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,8209 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1011 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2124 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 8,2729 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7941 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,2129 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23076
API ID
15367621
Gamdom ID
599350
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23076,
"api_id": 15367621,
"gamdom_id": 599350,
"player1": "Alexander Blockx",
"player2": "Jason Kubler",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.29,
"p2": 3.48
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5968,
"prob_p2": 0.4032,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5968,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 96,
"utr_singles": 15.08,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.81132075471697,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 53,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 194,
"utr_singles": 14.77,
"utr_ranking": 115,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.08,
"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.77,
"ranking": 115,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8152941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.7941176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
"rank_ratio": 2.0210526315789474,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 348,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.656603773584912,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.81132075471697,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.53846153846154,
"utr_advantage": 1.2129380053908336,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -32,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7036184804272407,
"rank_advantage": 97,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.272859216255434,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.160377358490564,
"p1_surface_matches": 53,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.058534107402039,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.298984034833091,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.8811320754716974,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.39622641509433965,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.009898658275217,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.279046636273822,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.8209366305301415,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.42105263157895,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.5999999999999872,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0384615384615383,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.7300000000000182,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 8.272859216255434,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10111320754716979,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2123846153846154,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.859649122807015,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}