Alexander Blockx vs Jason Kubler
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Blockx
Alexander …: 59,7% Jason …: 40,3%
¿Por qué Alexander Blockx?
UTR 15,08 vs 14,77 (+0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Jason … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,40 76,9%
Gamdom 1,30 3,55 76,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,68 2,48 59,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -12,7% Jason …: +12,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Blockx
Ranking #96
UTR Rating 15,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #84
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 37/53 = 69,8%
Jason Kubler
Ranking #194
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #115
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/26 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 97,0000
rank_ratio 2,0211
log_rank_ratio 0,7036
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 348,0000
best_rank_diff -32,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,2729
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,8596
surface_matches_ratio 2,0385
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,8113
surface_wr_p2 61,5385
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,4211
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,0000
p1_surface_matches 53,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3962
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,0585
first_serve_won_diff -1,8811
second_serve_won_diff 1,6000
bp_saved_diff 5,6566
bp_converted_diff -5,1604
aces_per_match_diff -1,2990
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,7300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 8,0099
serve_consistency_p2 9,2790
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,8209
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1011
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2124
elite_surface_amplifier 8,2729
UTR
utr_diff 0,1800
utr_p1 0,8153
utr_p2 0,7941
utr_advantage 1,2129
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23076
API ID 15367621
Gamdom ID 599350
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23076,
    "api_id": 15367621,
    "gamdom_id": 599350,
    "player1": "Alexander Blockx",
    "player2": "Jason Kubler",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.48
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5968,
    "prob_p2": 0.4032,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5968,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 96,
      "utr_singles": 15.08,
      "utr_ranking": 84,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.81132075471697,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 53,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 194,
      "utr_singles": 14.77,
      "utr_ranking": 115,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.08,
      "ranking": 84,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.77,
      "ranking": 115,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8152941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 2.0210526315789474,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 348,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.656603773584912,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.81132075471697,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.53846153846154,
    "utr_advantage": 1.2129380053908336,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -32,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7036184804272407,
    "rank_advantage": 97,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.272859216255434,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.160377358490564,
    "p1_surface_matches": 53,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.058534107402039,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.298984034833091,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.8811320754716974,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.39622641509433965,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.009898658275217,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.279046636273822,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.8209366305301415,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.42105263157895,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.5999999999999872,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0384615384615383,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.7300000000000182,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 8.272859216255434,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10111320754716979,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2123846153846154,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.859649122807015,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}