Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Daria Snigur
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra …: 51,4% Daria …: 48,6%
¿Por qué Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
UTR 12,29 vs 11,96 (+0,23) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aliaksandra … Daria … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,55 2,55 64,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,95 2,06 51,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Aliaksandra …: -11,1% Daria …: +11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking #104
UTR Rating 12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #42
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Daria Snigur
Ranking #136
UTR Rating 11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking #117
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 7/13 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 34,0000
rank_ratio 1,3333
log_rank_ratio 0,2877
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 229,0000
best_rank_diff 76,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,4591
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,2190
surface_matches_ratio 2,3846
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,3871
surface_wr_p2 53,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,9412
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 13,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4733
combined_confidence 0,7367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,5123
first_serve_won_diff 4,1690
second_serve_won_diff -3,8511
bp_saved_diff -2,1965
bp_converted_diff -0,9022
aces_per_match_diff 1,7916
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,2900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5745
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 10,2787
serve_consistency_p2 3,9966
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,5705
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0501
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0725
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2300
utr_p1 0,4871
utr_p2 0,4600
utr_advantage 1,9127
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23077
API ID 15367091
Gamdom ID 598828
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23077,
    "api_id": 15367091,
    "gamdom_id": 598828,
    "player1": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
    "player2": "Daria Snigur",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T03:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5141,
    "prob_p2": 0.4859,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5141,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 104,
      "utr_singles": 12.29,
      "utr_ranking": 42,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 136,
      "utr_singles": 11.96,
      "utr_ranking": 117,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.29,
      "ranking": 42,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.96,
      "ranking": 117,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4870588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.46,
    "utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 229,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.1965260545905707,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
    "utr_advantage": 1.9126819126819163,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 76,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.28768207245178085,
    "rank_advantage": 34,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.459057071960295,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.9022332506203483,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 13,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.512282878411902,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.574468085106383,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.7915632754342432,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.16898263027295,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.278676079894163,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.9966042297321125,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.5704728520940883,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.8511166253101834,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.3846153846153846,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.289999999999992,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05012903225806453,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07246153846153847,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.2190476190476236,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}