Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Daria Snigur
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 07:10
15 Ene 2026, 07:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra …: 51,4%
Daria …: 48,6%
¿Por qué Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
UTR 12,29 vs 11,96
(+0,23)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aliaksandra … | Daria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,55 | 2,55 | 64,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,95 | 2,06 | 51,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Aliaksandra …: -11,1%
Daria …: +11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Daria Snigur
Ranking
#136
UTR Rating
11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/13 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 34,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2877 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 229,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 76,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,4591 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,2190 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,3846 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,9412 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,5123 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,1690 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,8511 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,1965 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,9022 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,7916 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,2900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5745 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,2787 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,9966 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,5705 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0501 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0725 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4600 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,9127 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23077
API ID
15367091
Gamdom ID
598828
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23077,
"api_id": 15367091,
"gamdom_id": 598828,
"player1": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
"player2": "Daria Snigur",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T03:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.55,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5141,
"prob_p2": 0.4859,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5141,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 104,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 136,
"utr_singles": 11.96,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.96,
"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.46,
"utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
"rank_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 229,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.1965260545905707,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_advantage": 1.9126819126819163,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 76,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.28768207245178085,
"rank_advantage": 34,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.459057071960295,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.9022332506203483,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.512282878411902,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.574468085106383,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.7915632754342432,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.16898263027295,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.278676079894163,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.9966042297321125,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.5704728520940883,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.8511166253101834,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.3846153846153846,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.289999999999992,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05012903225806453,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07246153846153847,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.2190476190476236,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}