Lilli Tagger vs Lanlana Tararudee
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 09:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lilli Tagger
Lilli …: 64,2% Lanlana …: 35,8%
¿Por qué Lilli Tagger?
UTR 11,89 vs 11,89 (+0,12) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lilli … Lanlana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
Gamdom 2,35 1,63 42,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,56 2,79 64,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Lilli …: +23,0% Lanlana …: -23,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lilli Tagger
Ranking #155
UTR Rating 11,89 Junior
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking #131
UTR Rating 11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #132
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -23,0000
rank_ratio 0,8506
log_rank_ratio -0,1618
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -85,0000
best_rank_diff -21,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,1532
surface_matches_ratio 0,7000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,1429
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,3247
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,8571
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,4133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,9743
first_serve_won_diff -4,6000
second_serve_won_diff -3,2000
bp_saved_diff 14,4000
bp_converted_diff 0,4000
aces_per_match_diff -1,3571
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,0010
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 6,4954
serve_consistency_p2 7,3516
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,7729
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0944
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1230
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1200
utr_p1 0,4588
utr_p2 0,4447
utr_advantage 1,0135
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23078
API ID 15368753
Gamdom ID 599389
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23078,
    "api_id": 15368753,
    "gamdom_id": 599389,
    "player1": "Lilli Tagger",
    "player2": "Lanlana Tararudee",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T05:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.35,
      "p2": 1.63
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.23,
      "p2": 1.61
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6416,
    "prob_p2": 0.3584,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6416,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 155,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 2,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 131,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 132,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 2,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 132,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
    "utr_p2": 0.4447058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.120000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8506493506493507,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -85,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 14.399999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.0135135135135218,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -21,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.16175527921247762,
    "rank_advantage": -23,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.14285714285714,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.4000000000000057,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.97428571428572,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3571428571428572,
    "combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.599999999999994,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.495416522007549,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.351623993217009,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.772947643642473,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.0010000000000048,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09442857142857142,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.123,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.153246753246752,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}