Lilli Tagger vs Lanlana Tararudee
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 09:35
15 Ene 2026, 09:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lilli Tagger
Lilli …: 64,2%
Lanlana …: 35,8%
¿Por qué Lilli Tagger?
UTR 11,89 vs 11,89
(+0,12)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lilli … | Lanlana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,35 | 1,63 | 42,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,56 | 2,79 | 64,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lilli …: +23,0%
Lanlana …: -23,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lilli Tagger
Ranking
#155
UTR Rating
11,89 Junior
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking
#131
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -23,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8506 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1618 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -85,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -21,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,1532 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,3247 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,9743 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 14,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3571 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,0010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4954 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3516 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,7729 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0944 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1230 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4447 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,0135 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23078
API ID
15368753
Gamdom ID
599389
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23078,
"api_id": 15368753,
"gamdom_id": 599389,
"player1": "Lilli Tagger",
"player2": "Lanlana Tararudee",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T05:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.35,
"p2": 1.63
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.23,
"p2": 1.61
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6416,
"prob_p2": 0.3584,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6416,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 155,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 131,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4447058823529411,
"utr_diff": 0.120000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 0.8506493506493507,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -85,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.399999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.0135135135135218,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -21,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.16175527921247762,
"rank_advantage": -23,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.14285714285714,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.4000000000000057,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.97428571428572,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3571428571428572,
"combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.599999999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.495416522007549,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.351623993217009,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.772947643642473,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.200000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.0010000000000048,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09442857142857142,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.123,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.153246753246752,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}