Tamara Korpatsch vs Maddison Inglis
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 09:15
15 Ene 2026, 09:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Korpatsch
Tamara …: 55,0%
Maddison …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Tamara Korpatsch?
UTR 11,80 vs 11,73
(+0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tamara … | Maddison … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,67 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,86 | 1,99 | 53,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 55,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tamara …: +10,7%
Maddison …: -10,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Korpatsch
Ranking
#124
UTR Rating
11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#155
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
10/20 = 50,0%
Maddison Inglis
Ranking
#168
UTR Rating
11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#173
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/33 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 43,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3468 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2977 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 172,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 41,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,5455 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,3784 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6061 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,0541 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,2116 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9,7650 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,9050 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,0550 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,2150 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9288 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,7050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4345 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,1870 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,3532 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0430 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0885 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4494 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,6791 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23080
API ID
15367470
Gamdom ID
599276
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23080,
"api_id": 15367470,
"gamdom_id": 599276,
"player1": "Tamara Korpatsch",
"player2": "Maddison Inglis",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T05:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.6666666666666665
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.86,
"p2": 1.99
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.81,
"p2": 1.95
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5497,
"prob_p2": 0.4503,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5497,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 124,
"utr_singles": 11.8,
"utr_ranking": 155,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 168,
"utr_singles": 11.73,
"utr_ranking": 173,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.8,
"ranking": 155,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.73,
"ranking": 173,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4494117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.44,
"utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 1.346774193548387,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 172,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.0549999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_advantage": 0.6791171477079802,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 41,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2977122468117182,
"rank_advantage": 43,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.54545454545454,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.2149999999999963,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.211575757575758,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9287878787878789,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.765,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.43452357851312,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.187015283308199,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.3532374855078082,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.054054054054056,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.904999999999994,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6060606060606061,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.704999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04299999999999993,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08845454545454534,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.37837837837838,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}