Tamara Korpatsch vs Maddison Inglis
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 09:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Korpatsch
Tamara …: 55,0% Maddison …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Tamara Korpatsch?
UTR 11,80 vs 11,73 (+0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tamara … Maddison … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,67 47,6%
Gamdom 1,86 1,99 53,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Tamara …: +10,7% Maddison …: -10,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Korpatsch
Ranking #124
UTR Rating 11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #155
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/20 = 50,0%
Maddison Inglis
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #173
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/33 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 43,0000
rank_ratio 1,3468
log_rank_ratio 0,2977
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 172,0000
best_rank_diff 41,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,5455
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,3784
surface_matches_ratio 0,6061
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 54,5455
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,0541
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,2116
first_serve_won_diff -9,7650
second_serve_won_diff -4,9050
bp_saved_diff -3,0550
bp_converted_diff -0,2150
aces_per_match_diff -0,9288
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,7050
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 8,4345
serve_consistency_p2 10,1870
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,3532
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0430
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0885
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0800
utr_p1 0,4494
utr_p2 0,4400
utr_advantage 0,6791
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23080
API ID 15367470
Gamdom ID 599276
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23080,
    "api_id": 15367470,
    "gamdom_id": 599276,
    "player1": "Tamara Korpatsch",
    "player2": "Maddison Inglis",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T05:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.6666666666666665
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.86,
      "p2": 1.99
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.81,
      "p2": 1.95
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5497,
    "prob_p2": 0.4503,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5497,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 124,
      "utr_singles": 11.8,
      "utr_ranking": 155,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 11.73,
      "utr_ranking": 173,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.8,
      "ranking": 155,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.73,
      "ranking": 173,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4494117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.44,
    "utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.346774193548387,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 172,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.0549999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
    "utr_advantage": 0.6791171477079802,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 41,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2977122468117182,
    "rank_advantage": 43,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.54545454545454,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.2149999999999963,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.211575757575758,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.9287878787878789,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.765,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.43452357851312,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.187015283308199,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.3532374855078082,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.054054054054056,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.904999999999994,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6060606060606061,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.704999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04299999999999993,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08845454545454534,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.37837837837838,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}