Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Agamenone
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 20:35
15 Ene 2026, 20:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Franco Agamenone
Juan …: 32,5%
Franco …: 67,5%
¿Por qué Franco Agamenone?
UTR 13,79 vs 14,08
(-0,22)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Franco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,08 | 1,48 | 32,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: -9,9%
Franco …: +9,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking
#412
UTR Rating
13,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#500
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Clay
8/17 = 47,1%
Franco Agamenone
Ranking
#279
UTR Rating
14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#345
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Clay
14/27 = 51,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -98,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7737 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2566 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -42,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -320,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,7930 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,9288 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6296 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,6129 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,5757 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 13,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,6078 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,2373 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,1411 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,2299 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0686 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0795 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7047 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,5850 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23084
API ID
15327996
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23084,
"api_id": 15327996,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
"player2": "Franco Agamenone",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T16:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.41,
"p2": 1.53
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3248,
"prob_p2": 0.6752,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6752,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 412,
"utr_singles": 13.79,
"utr_ranking": 500,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 279,
"utr_singles": 14.08,
"utr_ranking": 345,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.79,
"ranking": 500,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.08,
"ranking": 345,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6788235294117646,
"utr_p2": 0.7047058823529412,
"utr_diff": -0.22000000000000064,
"rank_ratio": 0.7736720554272517,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -42,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.85185185185185,
"utr_advantage": -1.5850144092219065,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -320,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.25660719617742345,
"rank_advantage": -98,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.793028322440087,
"bp_converted_diff": 13.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.575686274509799,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.6078431372549016,
"combined_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.237318116599344,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.141108309771647,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.2299255590203302,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.3000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6296296296296297,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06858823529411756,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07948148148148149,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.9288274449564793,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}