Murkel Dellien vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 17:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Murkel …: 38,7% Nikolas …: 61,3%
¿Por qué Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?
UTR 13,97 vs 14,11 (-0,10) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Murkel … Nikolas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,80 52,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,58 1,63 38,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Murkel …: -9,8% Nikolas …: +9,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Murkel Dellien
Ranking #243
UTR Rating 13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #397
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Clay 20/45 = 44,4%
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Ranking #306
UTR Rating 14,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #329
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 44% (9p)
WR Clay 16/32 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 54,0000
rank_ratio 1,2151
log_rank_ratio 0,1949
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 49,0000
best_rank_diff 70,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,1020
surface_matches_ratio 1,4063
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,4444
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,8980
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,3600
first_serve_won_diff -0,3000
second_serve_won_diff -2,3000
bp_saved_diff 2,6000
bp_converted_diff -7,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,6000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,9700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 10,5332
serve_consistency_p2 13,7037
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,0825
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1096
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0540
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1000
utr_p1 0,7047
utr_p2 0,7165
utr_advantage -0,7123
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23086
API ID 15327990
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23086,
    "api_id": 15327990,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Murkel Dellien",
    "player2": "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-15T13:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.9,
      "p2": 1.83
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3869,
    "prob_p2": 0.6131,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6131,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 243,
      "utr_singles": 13.97,
      "utr_ranking": 397,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 306,
      "utr_singles": 14.11,
      "utr_ranking": 329,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.97,
      "ranking": 397,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.11,
      "ranking": 329,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7047058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.7164705882352941,
    "utr_diff": -0.09999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2151394422310757,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 49,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.6000000000000014,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.7122507122507098,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 70,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.19485883747562777,
    "rank_advantage": 54,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.555555555555557,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.36000000000000654,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.29999999999999716,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.533167910685727,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.703672267272577,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.0825490970868212,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.89795918367347,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.299999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.40625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.969999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10955555555555563,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05400000000000005,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.102040816326529,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}