Murkel Dellien vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 17:30
15 Ene 2026, 17:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Murkel …: 38,7%
Nikolas …: 61,3%
¿Por qué Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?
UTR 13,97 vs 14,11
(-0,10)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Murkel … | Nikolas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,80 | 52,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,58 | 1,63 | 38,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Murkel …: -9,8%
Nikolas …: +9,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Murkel Dellien
Ranking
#243
UTR Rating
13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#397
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Clay
20/45 = 44,4%
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Ranking
#306
UTR Rating
14,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#329
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
44% (9p)
WR Clay
16/32 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 54,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2151 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1949 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 49,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 70,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,1020 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4063 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,8980 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,3600 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,9700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,5332 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,7037 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,0825 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1096 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0540 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7165 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,7123 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23086
API ID
15327990
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23086,
"api_id": 15327990,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Murkel Dellien",
"player2": "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T13:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.9,
"p2": 1.83
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3869,
"prob_p2": 0.6131,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6131,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 243,
"utr_singles": 13.97,
"utr_ranking": 397,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 306,
"utr_singles": 14.11,
"utr_ranking": 329,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.97,
"ranking": 397,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.11,
"ranking": 329,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7047058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.7164705882352941,
"utr_diff": -0.09999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 1.2151394422310757,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 49,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.6000000000000014,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.7122507122507098,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 70,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.19485883747562777,
"rank_advantage": 54,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.555555555555557,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.36000000000000654,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.29999999999999716,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.533167910685727,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.703672267272577,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.0825490970868212,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.89795918367347,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.299999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.40625,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.969999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10955555555555563,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05400000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.102040816326529,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}