Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Andrea Collarini
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 20:55
15 Ene 2026, 20:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Collarini
Pedro …: 34,5%
Andrea …: 65,5%
¿Por qué Andrea Collarini?
UTR 13,98 vs 14,26
(-0,19)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pedro … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,90 | 1,53 | 34,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Pedro …: -0,9%
Andrea …: +0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Ranking
#268
UTR Rating
13,98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#392
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
44% (9p)
WR Clay
26/46 = 56,5%
Andrea Collarini
Ranking
#233
UTR Rating
14,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#253
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
32/56 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -35,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8727 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1361 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -31,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -91,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,6211 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,6667 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8214 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,5217 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1304 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,1166 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6817 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,9900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 15,1133 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,9316 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0846 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1002 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0364 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3470 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23087
API ID
15327997
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23087,
"api_id": 15327997,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Pedro Boscardin Dias",
"player2": "Andrea Collarini",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T16:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.63,
"p2": 1.44
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.79,
"p2": 1.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3453,
"prob_p2": 0.6547,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6547,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 268,
"utr_singles": 13.98,
"utr_ranking": 392,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 233,
"utr_singles": 14.26,
"utr_ranking": 253,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.98,
"ranking": 392,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.26,
"ranking": 253,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7070588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.7294117647058823,
"utr_diff": -0.1899999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 0.8727272727272727,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -31,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.52173913043478,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": -1.3470400567174725,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -91,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13613217432458005,
"rank_advantage": -35,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.6211180124223574,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.1166459627329175,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6816770186335404,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.3999999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
"serve_consistency_p1": 15.1132644230328,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.931579437766465,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.08455414554321704,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.6000000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8214285714285714,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.990000000000009,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10021739130434781,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.036428571428571366,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.6666666666666572,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}