Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Andrea Collarini
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 20:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Collarini
Pedro …: 34,5% Andrea …: 65,5%
¿Por qué Andrea Collarini?
UTR 13,98 vs 14,26 (-0,19) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pedro … Andrea … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,90 1,53 34,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Pedro …: -0,9% Andrea …: +0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Ranking #268
UTR Rating 13,98 Pro
UTR Ranking #392
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 44% (9p)
WR Clay 26/46 = 56,5%
Andrea Collarini
Ranking #233
UTR Rating 14,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #253
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 32/56 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -35,0000
rank_ratio 0,8727
log_rank_ratio -0,1361
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -31,0000
best_rank_diff -91,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,6211
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,6667
surface_matches_ratio 0,8214
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,5217
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,6667
p1_surface_matches 46,0000
p2_surface_matches 56,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1304
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,1166
first_serve_won_diff -1,4000
second_serve_won_diff -2,6000
bp_saved_diff 3,3000
bp_converted_diff -4,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,6817
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,9900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5263
serve_consistency_p1 15,1133
serve_consistency_p2 7,9316
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0846
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1002
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0364
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1900
utr_p1 0,7071
utr_p2 0,7294
utr_advantage -1,3470
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23087
API ID 15327997
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23087,
    "api_id": 15327997,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Pedro Boscardin Dias",
    "player2": "Andrea Collarini",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-15T16:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.79,
      "p2": 1.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3453,
    "prob_p2": 0.6547,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6547,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 268,
      "utr_singles": 13.98,
      "utr_ranking": 392,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 233,
      "utr_singles": 14.26,
      "utr_ranking": 253,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 56,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.98,
      "ranking": 392,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.26,
      "ranking": 253,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7070588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.7294117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -0.1899999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8727272727272727,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": -31,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.299999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.52173913043478,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": -1.3470400567174725,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -91,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.13613217432458005,
    "rank_advantage": -35,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.6211180124223574,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 46,
    "p2_surface_matches": 56,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.1166459627329175,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6816770186335404,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.3999999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.1132644230328,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.931579437766465,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.08455414554321704,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.6000000000000014,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8214285714285714,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.990000000000009,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10021739130434781,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.036428571428571366,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.6666666666666572,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}