Kimberly Birrell vs Victoria Mboko
Adelaide | Hard | Semifinals
16 Ene 2026, 04:30
16 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Kimberly …: 19,3%
Victoria …: 80,7%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kimberly … | Victoria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,28 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 4,90 | 1,19 | 20,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,18 | 1,24 | 19,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kimberly …: -6,1%
Victoria …: +6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Victoria Mboko
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
20/26 = 76,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -90,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1589 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,8396 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1431,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -43,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,3473 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,4715 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2692 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 76,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 73,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1515 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,2754 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,6105 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,7280 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,7319 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,5622 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,6259 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,2059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2151 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,5933 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 35,5916 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1658 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1792 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23114
API ID
15328441
Gamdom ID
580614
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23114,
"api_id": 15328441,
"gamdom_id": 580614,
"player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
"player2": "Victoria Mboko",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-16T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.28
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.9,
"p2": 1.19
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.61,
"p2": 1.19
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.193,
"prob_p2": 0.807,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.807,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.62,
"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5423529411764705,
"utr_p2": 0.5423529411764705,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.1588785046728972,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": -1431,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.731934731934736,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -14.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p2": 76.92307692307693,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -43,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.83961549040569,
"rank_advantage": -90,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.125,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.347319347319356,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.562237762237778,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.275384615384624,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.36666666666666664,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.625874125874126,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.610489510489529,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.21512976214192,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.593274051982989,
"surface_rank_synergy": 35.59162836915439,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 73.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.7279720279720294,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2692307692307692,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16575757575757577,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17923076923076942,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.471471471471466,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}