Kimberly Birrell vs Victoria Mboko
Adelaide | Hard | Semifinals
16 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Kimberly …: 19,3% Victoria …: 80,7%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kimberly … Victoria … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,28 26,7%
Gamdom 4,90 1,19 20,4%
IA Fair Odds 5,18 1,24 19,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Kimberly …: -6,1% Victoria …: +6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Victoria Mboko
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #13
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 20/26 = 76,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -90,0000
rank_ratio 0,1589
log_rank_ratio -1,8396
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -1431,0000
best_rank_diff -43,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -19,3473
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,4715
surface_matches_ratio 1,2692
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,5758
surface_wr_p2 76,9231
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,7568
surface_wr_p2_stable 73,3333
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1515
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,2754
first_serve_won_diff -5,6105
second_serve_won_diff -0,7280
bp_saved_diff -7,7319
bp_converted_diff -7,5622
aces_per_match_diff -3,6259
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,2059
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1250
serve_consistency_p1 6,2151
serve_consistency_p2 4,5933
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 35,5916
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1658
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1792
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5424
utr_p2 0,5424
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23114
API ID 15328441
Gamdom ID 580614
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23114,
    "api_id": 15328441,
    "gamdom_id": 580614,
    "player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
    "player2": "Victoria Mboko",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-16T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.28
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.9,
      "p2": 1.19
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.61,
      "p2": 1.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.193,
    "prob_p2": 0.807,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.807,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 13,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.62,
      "ranking": 13,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5423529411764705,
    "utr_p2": 0.5423529411764705,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.1588785046728972,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": -1431,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.731934731934736,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -14.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
    "surface_wr_p2": 76.92307692307693,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -43,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.83961549040569,
    "rank_advantage": -90,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.125,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -19.347319347319356,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.562237762237778,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.275384615384624,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.36666666666666664,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.625874125874126,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.610489510489529,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.21512976214192,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.593274051982989,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 35.59162836915439,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 73.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.7279720279720294,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2692307692307692,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16575757575757577,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17923076923076942,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.471471471471466,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}