Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert
Adelaide | Hard | Semifinals
16 Ene 2026, 12:00
16 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alejandro …: 63,4%
Ugo …: 36,6%
¿Por qué Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
UTR 15,62 vs 15,43
(+0,30)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alejandro … | Ugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,80 | 50,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,58 | 2,73 | 63,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alejandro …: +16,0%
Ugo …: -16,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
29/46 = 63,0%
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
18/29 = 62,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 21,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,4000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8755 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1230,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,9745 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,3707 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5862 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,0435 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,0690 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,6061 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2609 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -13,4460 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,3396 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,3826 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,7361 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,1519 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,5307 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9104 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7136 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6538 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,6471 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6384 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,8532 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1094 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1417 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,9745 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9118 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,9231 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23115
API ID
15327354
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23115,
"api_id": 15327354,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
"player2": "Ugo Humbert",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-16T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.02,
"p2": 1.77
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6341,
"prob_p2": 0.3659,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6341,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 14,
"utr_singles": 15.62,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.04347826086957,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 15.43,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.43,
"ranking": 38,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.3000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 2.4,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 1230,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.7361319340329686,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.04347826086957,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.06896551724138,
"utr_advantage": 1.9230769230769278,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8754687373538999,
"rank_advantage": 21,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6538461538461539,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.9745127436281891,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.151874062968524,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": -13.446041979010495,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9104477611940298,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7135678391959799,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.530734632683658,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.339580209895061,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2608695652173913,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.647103601534296,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.638422029183819,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.8531554411994554,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.60606060606061,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.3826086956521806,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5862068965517242,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.469999999999985,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.9745127436281891,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10943478260869566,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14168965517241383,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.3707070707070679,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}