Mirra Andreeva vs Diana Shnaider
Adelaide | Hard | Semifinals
16 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 82,6% Diana …: 17,4%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,43 (+0,33) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mirra … Diana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,46 2,85 68,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,21 5,74 82,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Mirra …: +17,0% Diana …: -17,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Diana Shnaider
Ranking #22
UTR Rating 12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 15,0000
rank_ratio 2,8750
log_rank_ratio 1,0561
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2414,0000
best_rank_diff 6,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 23,3871
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 20,7937
surface_matches_ratio 1,0323
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 51,6129
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,4286
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,0050
first_serve_won_diff 5,1000
second_serve_won_diff 3,6000
bp_saved_diff 1,7000
bp_converted_diff 2,9000
aces_per_match_diff 1,6875
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7446
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8855
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4375
serve_consistency_p1 5,6668
serve_consistency_p2 8,0263
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 24,6980
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2350
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0311
elite_surface_amplifier 46,7742
UTR
utr_diff 0,3300
utr_p1 0,5482
utr_p2 0,5094
utr_advantage 2,6411
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23116
API ID 15328444
Gamdom ID 580612
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23116,
    "api_id": 15328444,
    "gamdom_id": 580612,
    "player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
    "player2": "Diana Shnaider",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-16T04:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.46,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.73
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8259,
    "prob_p2": 0.1741,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8259,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 12.64,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 22,
      "utr_singles": 12.43,
      "utr_ranking": 29,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.64,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.43,
      "ranking": 29,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_diff": 0.33000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 2.875,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 2414,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.6999999999999957,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
    "utr_advantage": 2.641056422569028,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 6,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0560526742493137,
    "rank_advantage": 15,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 23.38709677419355,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.8999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.005000000000003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8854961832061069,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.6875,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.100000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.666838838625943,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.026293820310858,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 24.6980060913146,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.032258064516129,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 46.7741935483871,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.235,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.031129032258064515,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.79365079365079,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}