Mirra Andreeva vs Diana Shnaider
Adelaide | Hard | Semifinals
16 Ene 2026, 08:40
16 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 82,6%
Diana …: 17,4%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,43
(+0,33)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mirra … | Diana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,46 | 2,85 | 68,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,21 | 5,74 | 82,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mirra …: +17,0%
Diana …: -17,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Diana Shnaider
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 15,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0561 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2414,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 23,3871 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 20,7937 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0323 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,0050 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,6875 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7446 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8855 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4375 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6668 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,0263 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 24,6980 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2350 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0311 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 46,7742 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,6411 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23116
API ID
15328444
Gamdom ID
580612
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23116,
"api_id": 15328444,
"gamdom_id": 580612,
"player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
"player2": "Diana Shnaider",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-16T04:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.46,
"p2": 2.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8259,
"prob_p2": 0.1741,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8259,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 12.64,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.64,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.43,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_diff": 0.33000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 2.875,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 2414,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.6999999999999957,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
"utr_advantage": 2.641056422569028,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 6,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0560526742493137,
"rank_advantage": 15,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 23.38709677419355,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.8999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.005000000000003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8854961832061069,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.6875,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.100000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.666838838625943,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.026293820310858,
"surface_rank_synergy": 24.6980060913146,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.032258064516129,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 46.7741935483871,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.235,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.031129032258064515,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.79365079365079,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}