Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovic
Hobart | Hard | Semifinals
16 Ene 2026, 09:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Taylah …: 17,5% Iva …: 82,5%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 11,50 vs 12,41 (-0,91) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Taylah … Iva … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,20 22,2%
Gamdom 4,50 1,23 22,2%
IA Fair Odds 5,73 1,21 17,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Taylah …: -3,6% Iva …: +3,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylah Preston
Ranking #161
UTR Rating 11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #275
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 3/6 = 50,0%
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -174,0000
rank_ratio 0,1471
log_rank_ratio -1,9169
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -1166,0000
best_rank_diff -104,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,1579
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,8850
surface_matches_ratio 0,3158
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 63,1579
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,8696
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 19,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,6333
combined_confidence 0,5067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,5725
first_serve_won_diff 1,1000
second_serve_won_diff -3,8000
bp_saved_diff -9,9000
bp_converted_diff 2,0000
aces_per_match_diff -1,4912
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 7,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 5,1727
serve_consistency_p2 10,9108
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 25,2227
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1740
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0424
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,9100
utr_p1 0,4024
utr_p2 0,5094
utr_advantage -7,6632
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23118
API ID 15328388
Gamdom ID 580573
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23118,
    "api_id": 15328388,
    "gamdom_id": 580573,
    "player1": "Taylah Preston",
    "player2": "Iva Jovic",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-16T05:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.17,
      "p2": 1.22
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1746,
    "prob_p2": 0.8254,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8254,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 161,
      "utr_singles": 11.5,
      "utr_ranking": 275,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.5,
      "ranking": 275,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4023529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -0.9100000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 0.14705882352941177,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": -1166,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.899999999999991,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.1578947368421,
    "utr_advantage": -7.663157894736844,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -104,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.916922612182061,
    "rank_advantage": -174,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.157894736842103,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 19,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.572456140350873,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.4912280701754388,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5066666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.1000000000000014,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.1727225305566975,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.910836574868014,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 25.222665949763957,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.799999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3157894736842105,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17400000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.042421052631579026,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.885024154589377,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}