Franco Agamenone vs Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Semifinals
16 Ene 2026, 20:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Franco Agamenone
Franco …: 57,4% Murkel …: 42,6%
¿Por qué Franco Agamenone?
UTR 14,08 vs 13,97 — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Franco … Murkel … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,74 2,35 57,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Franco …: +7,4% Murkel …: -7,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Franco Agamenone
Ranking #279
UTR Rating 14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #345
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Clay 14/27 = 51,9%
Murkel Dellien
Ranking #243
UTR Rating 13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #397
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 20/45 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -84,0000
rank_ratio 0,7493
log_rank_ratio -0,2887
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -69,0000
best_rank_diff 60,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,4074
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,3792
surface_matches_ratio 0,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,8519
surface_wr_p2 44,4444
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,6129
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,8980
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 45,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0370
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,3533
first_serve_won_diff 3,0000
second_serve_won_diff 2,4000
bp_saved_diff 2,8000
bp_converted_diff -10,7000
aces_per_match_diff 2,0667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1429
serve_consistency_p1 9,7175
serve_consistency_p2 9,4833
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,1384
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1025
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1396
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7047
utr_p2 0,7047
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23120
API ID 15327988
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23120,
    "api_id": 15327988,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Franco Agamenone",
    "player2": "Murkel Dellien",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-16T16:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.83,
      "p2": 1.83
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.87,
      "p2": 1.85
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.574,
    "prob_p2": 0.426,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.574,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 279,
      "utr_singles": 14.08,
      "utr_ranking": 345,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 243,
      "utr_singles": 13.97,
      "utr_ranking": 397,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.08,
      "ranking": 345,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.97,
      "ranking": 397,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7047058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.7047058823529412,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7492537313432835,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": -69,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.799999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.85185185185185,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 60,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2886775926932826,
    "rank_advantage": -84,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.407407407407405,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 45,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.353333333333332,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.0666666666666664,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.037037037037037035,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.717457003436017,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.483265191995388,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.138352538468759,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.61290322580645,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.89795918367347,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.3999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10251851851851845,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.13955555555555554,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.379196840026328,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}