Franco Agamenone vs Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Semifinals
16 Ene 2026, 20:40
16 Ene 2026, 20:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Franco Agamenone
Franco …: 57,4%
Murkel …: 42,6%
¿Por qué Franco Agamenone?
UTR 14,08 vs 13,97
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Franco … | Murkel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,74 | 2,35 | 57,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Franco …: +7,4%
Murkel …: -7,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Franco Agamenone
Ranking
#279
UTR Rating
14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#345
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Clay
14/27 = 51,9%
Murkel Dellien
Ranking
#243
UTR Rating
13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#397
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
20/45 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -84,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7493 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2887 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -69,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 60,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,4074 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,3792 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,8980 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0370 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,3533 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,0667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7175 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4833 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,1384 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1025 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1396 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7047 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23120
API ID
15327988
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23120,
"api_id": 15327988,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Franco Agamenone",
"player2": "Murkel Dellien",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-16T16:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.83,
"p2": 1.83
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.87,
"p2": 1.85
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.574,
"prob_p2": 0.426,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.574,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 279,
"utr_singles": 14.08,
"utr_ranking": 345,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 243,
"utr_singles": 13.97,
"utr_ranking": 397,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.08,
"ranking": 345,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.97,
"ranking": 397,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7047058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.7047058823529412,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.7492537313432835,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": -69,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.799999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.85185185185185,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 60,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2886775926932826,
"rank_advantage": -84,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.407407407407405,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.700000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 45,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.353333333333332,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.0666666666666664,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.037037037037037035,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.717457003436017,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.483265191995388,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.138352538468759,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.89795918367347,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.3999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10251851851851845,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.13955555555555554,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.379196840026328,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}