Jakub Mensik vs Fábián Marozsán
Auckland | Hard | Semifinals
16 Ene 2026, 05:15
16 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Jakub …: 66,4%
Fábián …: 33,6%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jakub … | Fábián … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,40 | 75,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,51 | 2,98 | 66,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jakub …: -5,4%
Fábián …: +5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jakub Mensik
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#37
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#47
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 34,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8889 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0609 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1150,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,8871 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,6825 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0323 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 19,7763 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,6883 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,0137 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,3234 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,1790 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 8,5181 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1710 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1456 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6190 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4967 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,3193 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11,5498 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0910 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0501 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 21,7742 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8729 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23121
API ID
15327195
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23121,
"api_id": 15327195,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jakub Mensik",
"player2": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-16T01:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.26
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6644,
"prob_p2": 0.3356,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6644,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 15.4,
"utr_ranking": 37,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 47,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.4,
"ranking": 37,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8729411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 2.888888888888889,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 1150,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.3233870967741836,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0608719606852626,
"rank_advantage": 34,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6190476190476191,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.887096774193552,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.1790322580645167,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 19.776330645161288,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1709844559585492,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.145631067961165,
"aces_per_match_diff": 8.518145161290324,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.6883064516129025,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.496672894950421,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.319315179873393,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.54981570100891,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.0137096774193566,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.032258064516129,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.249999999999986,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 21.774193548387103,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09099999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05012903225806453,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.68253968253969,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}