Jakub Mensik vs Fábián Marozsán
Auckland | Hard | Semifinals
16 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Jakub …: 66,4% Fábián …: 33,6%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jakub … Fábián … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,40 75,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,51 2,98 66,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Jakub …: -5,4% Fábián …: +5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jakub Mensik
Ranking #17
UTR Rating 15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #37
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking #47
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 34,0000
rank_ratio 2,8889
log_rank_ratio 1,0609
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1150,0000
best_rank_diff 20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,8871
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,6825
surface_matches_ratio 1,0323
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 51,6129
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,4286
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 19,7763
first_serve_won_diff 6,6883
second_serve_won_diff -2,0137
bp_saved_diff 2,3234
bp_converted_diff 1,1790
aces_per_match_diff 8,5181
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,2500
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1710
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1456
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6190
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3529
serve_consistency_p1 7,4967
serve_consistency_p2 5,3193
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,5498
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0910
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0501
elite_surface_amplifier 21,7742
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8729
utr_p2 0,8729
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23121
API ID 15327195
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23121,
    "api_id": 15327195,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jakub Mensik",
    "player2": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-16T01:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.26
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6644,
    "prob_p2": 0.3356,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6644,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 17,
      "utr_singles": 15.4,
      "utr_ranking": 37,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 47,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.4,
      "ranking": 37,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8729411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 2.888888888888889,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 1150,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.3233870967741836,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 20,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0608719606852626,
    "rank_advantage": 34,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6190476190476191,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.887096774193552,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.1790322580645167,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": 19.776330645161288,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1709844559585492,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.145631067961165,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 8.518145161290324,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.6883064516129025,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.496672894950421,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.319315179873393,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 11.54981570100891,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.0137096774193566,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.032258064516129,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.249999999999986,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 21.774193548387103,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09099999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05012903225806453,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.68253968253969,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}