Adrian Mannarino vs Rinky Hijikata
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 11:10
19 Ene 2026, 11:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adrian Mannarino
Adrian …: 51,8%
Rinky …: 48,2%
¿Por qué Adrian Mannarino?
UTR 15,37 vs 14,82
(+1,12)
— Ligera ventaja
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Adrian … | Rinky … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,57 | 42,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,34 | 1,66 | 42,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,93 | 2,08 | 51,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Adrian …: +12,1%
Rinky …: -12,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking
#114
UTR Rating
14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/47 = 55,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5108 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 283,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 45,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,6525 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,4020 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7660 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,3191 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,9020 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,3845 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,1213 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0670 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,5248 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,6883 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,4019 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -36,0150 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7532 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7258 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0909 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6111 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6885 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,9797 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,9740 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1293 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0992 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -13,6525 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,1200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7565 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,4716 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23123
API ID
15372374
Gamdom ID
601121
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23123,
"api_id": 15372374,
"gamdom_id": 601121,
"player1": "Adrian Mannarino",
"player2": "Rinky Hijikata",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T07:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.34,
"p2": 1.66
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.34,
"p2": 1.59
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5185,
"prob_p2": 0.4815,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5185,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 69,
"utr_singles": 15.37,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 114,
"utr_singles": 14.82,
"utr_ranking": 110,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.319148936170215,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 110,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7564705882352941,
"utr_diff": 1.120000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 1.6666666666666667,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 283,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.5248226950354606,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -40.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.319148936170215,
"utr_advantage": 7.47164776517679,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 45,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5108256237659907,
"rank_advantage": 46,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.09090909090909091,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.652482269503544,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.6882978723404207,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.3845271867612325,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7531645569620253,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7258064516129032,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.40189125295508266,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.1212765957446749,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.688516620261781,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.979653464181203,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.974037771273276,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.90196078431373,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.06702127659574586,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7659574468085106,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -36.01500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -13.652482269503544,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1293333333333333,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09919148936170219,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.40196078431373,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}