Adrian Mannarino vs Rinky Hijikata
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 11:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adrian Mannarino
Adrian …: 51,8% Rinky …: 48,2%
¿Por qué Adrian Mannarino?
UTR 15,37 vs 14,82 (+1,12) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Adrian … Rinky … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,57 42,0%
Gamdom 2,34 1,66 42,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,93 2,08 51,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Adrian …: +12,1% Rinky …: -12,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking #69
UTR Rating 15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #41
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 15/36 = 41,7%
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking #114
UTR Rating 14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking #110
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/47 = 55,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 46,0000
rank_ratio 1,6667
log_rank_ratio 0,5108
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 283,0000
best_rank_diff 45,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,6525
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,4020
surface_matches_ratio 0,7660
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 55,3191
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,9020
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 47,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,3845
first_serve_won_diff 1,1213
second_serve_won_diff 0,0670
bp_saved_diff 2,5248
bp_converted_diff -1,6883
aces_per_match_diff 0,4019
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -36,0150
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7532
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7258
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0909
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6111
serve_consistency_p1 8,6885
serve_consistency_p2 8,9797
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,9740
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1293
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0992
elite_surface_amplifier -13,6525
UTR
utr_diff 1,1200
utr_p1 0,8882
utr_p2 0,7565
utr_advantage 7,4716
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23123
API ID 15372374
Gamdom ID 601121
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23123,
    "api_id": 15372374,
    "gamdom_id": 601121,
    "player1": "Adrian Mannarino",
    "player2": "Rinky Hijikata",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T07:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.34,
      "p2": 1.66
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.34,
      "p2": 1.59
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5185,
    "prob_p2": 0.4815,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5185,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 69,
      "utr_singles": 15.37,
      "utr_ranking": 41,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 114,
      "utr_singles": 14.82,
      "utr_ranking": 110,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.319148936170215,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.37,
      "ranking": 41,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.82,
      "ranking": 110,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8882352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.7564705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 1.120000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6666666666666667,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 283,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.5248226950354606,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.319148936170215,
    "utr_advantage": 7.47164776517679,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 45,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5108256237659907,
    "rank_advantage": 46,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.09090909090909091,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.652482269503544,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.6882978723404207,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 47,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.3845271867612325,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7531645569620253,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7258064516129032,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.40189125295508266,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.1212765957446749,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.688516620261781,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.979653464181203,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.974037771273276,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.90196078431373,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.06702127659574586,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7659574468085106,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -36.01500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -13.652482269503544,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1293333333333333,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09919148936170219,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.40196078431373,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}