Alexander Bublik vs Jenson Brooksby
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Bublik
Alexander …: 80,8% Jenson …: 19,3%
¿Por qué Alexander Bublik?
UTR 15,95 vs 15,32 (+0,55) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Jenson … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,20 4,50 83,3%
Gamdom 1,29 3,90 77,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,19 80,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: +1,8% Jenson …: -1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 15,95 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/36 = 55,6%
Jenson Brooksby
Ranking #48
UTR Rating 15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #47
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 10/23 = 43,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 38,0000
rank_ratio 4,8000
log_rank_ratio 1,5686
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2048,0000
best_rank_diff 23,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,0773
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,3241
surface_matches_ratio 1,5652
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 43,4783
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 22,1079
first_serve_won_diff 7,9068
second_serve_won_diff 2,1899
bp_saved_diff 8,5031
bp_converted_diff -4,7367
aces_per_match_diff 8,7488
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 66,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 45,9100
current_streak_diff 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9655
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9576
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 4,9030
serve_consistency_p2 12,3884
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 18,9446
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0176
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0272
elite_surface_amplifier 24,1546
UTR
utr_diff 0,5500
utr_p1 0,9388
utr_p2 0,8741
utr_advantage 3,5021
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23124
API ID 15372339
Gamdom ID 601105
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23124,
    "api_id": 15372339,
    "gamdom_id": 601105,
    "player1": "Alexander Bublik",
    "player2": "Jenson Brooksby",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T08:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.9
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.75
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8075,
    "prob_p2": 0.1925,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8075,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 10,
      "utr_singles": 15.95,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 48,
      "utr_singles": 15.32,
      "utr_ranking": 47,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.47826086956522,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.95,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.32,
      "ranking": 47,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.8741176470588234,
    "utr_diff": 0.5500000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 4.8,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 2048,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.50314009661836,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 65.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 43.47826086956522,
    "utr_advantage": 3.502069404648206,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 23,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.5686159179138452,
    "rank_advantage": 38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.077294685990339,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.736714975845409,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": 22.107922705314003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9655172413793104,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9576271186440678,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 8.748792270531402,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.906763285024155,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.903035503242348,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.388438541834681,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 18.94463668978074,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.1898550724637644,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.565217391304348,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 45.91,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 24.154589371980677,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.017555555555555546,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.027217391304347804,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.324074074074082,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}