Alexander Bublik vs Jenson Brooksby
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 12:10
18 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Bublik
Alexander …: 80,8%
Jenson …: 19,3%
¿Por qué Alexander Bublik?
UTR 15,95 vs 15,32
(+0,55)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Jenson … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,50 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,29 | 3,90 | 77,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,24 | 5,19 | 80,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: +1,8%
Jenson …: -1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
15,95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
20/36 = 55,6%
Jenson Brooksby
Ranking
#48
UTR Rating
15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#47
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
10/23 = 43,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,8000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5686 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2048,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 23,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,0773 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,3241 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5652 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,4783 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 22,1079 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,9068 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,1899 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,5031 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,7367 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 8,7488 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 66,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 45,9100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9655 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9576 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9030 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3884 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18,9446 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0176 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0272 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 24,1546 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8741 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,5021 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23124
API ID
15372339
Gamdom ID
601105
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23124,
"api_id": 15372339,
"gamdom_id": 601105,
"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Jenson Brooksby",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T08:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.29,
"p2": 3.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.75
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8075,
"prob_p2": 0.1925,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8075,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 15.95,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 48,
"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 47,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.47826086956522,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 47,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8741176470588234,
"utr_diff": 0.5500000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 4.8,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": 2048,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.50314009661836,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 65.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.47826086956522,
"utr_advantage": 3.502069404648206,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 23,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5686159179138452,
"rank_advantage": 38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.077294685990339,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.736714975845409,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": 22.107922705314003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9655172413793104,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9576271186440678,
"aces_per_match_diff": 8.748792270531402,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.906763285024155,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.903035503242348,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.388438541834681,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.94463668978074,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.1898550724637644,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.565217391304348,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 45.91,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 24.154589371980677,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.017555555555555546,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.027217391304347804,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.324074074074082,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}