Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallo
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 06:20
18 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 76,3%
Gabriel …: 23,7%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,44
(+0,25)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Gabriel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 6,00 | 88,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,14 | 6,40 | 87,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,31 | 4,22 | 76,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -7,8%
Gabriel …: +7,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
32/45 = 71,1%
Gabriel Diallo
Ranking
#41
UTR Rating
15,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
18/36 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 13,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,6150 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3890,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 31,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,1111 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19,3878 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,3878 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,7562 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,5450 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,4272 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,2772 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,4700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1722 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 16,7300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 12,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0182 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8091 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4632 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,0278 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 55,2047 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1731 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0380 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 42,2222 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8894 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,5939 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23125
API ID
15372361
Gamdom ID
601110
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23125,
"api_id": 15372361,
"gamdom_id": 601110,
"player1": "Alexander Zverev",
"player2": "Gabriel Diallo",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T02:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 6.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.14,
"p2": 6.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 5.9
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7632,
"prob_p2": 0.2368,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7632,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 15.74,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 41,
"utr_singles": 15.44,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.44,
"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8894117647058825,
"utr_diff": 0.25,
"rank_ratio": 13.666666666666666,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": 3890,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.277222222222221,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.5938795027095953,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 31,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.614959778036198,
"rank_advantage": 38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.111111111111114,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.470000000000006,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.7562222222222204,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8091286307053942,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.1722222222222225,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.5450000000000017,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.463221819599402,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.027839680506391,
"surface_rank_synergy": 55.204706425208634,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.42722222222222,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 16.729999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 42.22222222222223,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1731111111111111,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.038000000000000034,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.387755102040813,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}