Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallo
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 76,3% Gabriel …: 23,7%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,44 (+0,25) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Gabriel … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 6,00 88,5%
Gamdom 1,14 6,40 87,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,31 4,22 76,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -7,8% Gabriel …: +7,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 32/45 = 71,1%
Gabriel Diallo
Ranking #41
UTR Rating 15,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 18/36 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 38,0000
rank_ratio 13,6667
log_rank_ratio 2,6150
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 3890,0000
best_rank_diff 31,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 19,3878
surface_matches_ratio 1,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,1111
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,3878
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 36,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4222
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,7562
first_serve_won_diff 0,5450
second_serve_won_diff 9,4272
bp_saved_diff 3,2772
bp_converted_diff -3,4700
aces_per_match_diff -0,1722
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 16,7300
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 12,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0182
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8091
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3077
serve_consistency_p1 9,4632
serve_consistency_p2 7,0278
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 55,2047
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1731
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0380
elite_surface_amplifier 42,2222
UTR
utr_diff 0,2500
utr_p1 0,9188
utr_p2 0,8894
utr_advantage 1,5939
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23125
API ID 15372361
Gamdom ID 601110
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23125,
    "api_id": 15372361,
    "gamdom_id": 601110,
    "player1": "Alexander Zverev",
    "player2": "Gabriel Diallo",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T02:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.14,
      "p2": 6.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 5.9
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7632,
    "prob_p2": 0.2368,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7632,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 15.74,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 41,
      "utr_singles": 15.44,
      "utr_ranking": 33,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.74,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.44,
      "ranking": 33,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9188235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.8894117647058825,
    "utr_diff": 0.25,
    "rank_ratio": 13.666666666666666,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 3890,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.277222222222221,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5938795027095953,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 31,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.614959778036198,
    "rank_advantage": 38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.111111111111114,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.470000000000006,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 36,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.7562222222222204,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8091286307053942,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.1722222222222225,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.5450000000000017,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.463221819599402,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.027839680506391,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 55.204706425208634,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 9.42722222222222,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.729999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 42.22222222222223,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1731111111111111,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.038000000000000034,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.387755102040813,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}