Arthur Cazaux vs Jaime Faria
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 08:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Cazaux
Arthur …: 67,0% Jaime …: 33,0%
¿Por qué Arthur Cazaux?
UTR 15,24 vs 14,32 (+1,05) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arthur … Jaime … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,43 2,70 69,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,49 3,03 67,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Arthur …: +1,4% Jaime …: -1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Cazaux
Ranking #67
UTR Rating 15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #57
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 18/33 = 54,5%
Jaime Faria
Ranking #151
UTR Rating 14,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #229
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/16 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 84,0000
rank_ratio 2,2537
log_rank_ratio 0,8126
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 417,0000
best_rank_diff 29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,5455
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,1081
surface_matches_ratio 2,0625
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,5455
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,0541
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,7983
first_serve_won_diff 1,0277
second_serve_won_diff -4,3864
bp_saved_diff 6,4771
bp_converted_diff -0,6150
aces_per_match_diff 0,0019
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -35,6490
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6800
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8931
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6154
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,8428
serve_consistency_p2 7,8530
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,6936
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0385
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0840
elite_surface_amplifier 4,5455
UTR
utr_diff 1,0500
utr_p1 0,8647
utr_p2 0,7412
utr_advantage 7,0826
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23127
API ID 15373168
Gamdom ID 601546
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23127,
    "api_id": 15373168,
    "gamdom_id": 601546,
    "player1": "Arthur Cazaux",
    "player2": "Jaime Faria",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T04:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6701,
    "prob_p2": 0.3299,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6701,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 67,
      "utr_singles": 15.24,
      "utr_ranking": 57,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 151,
      "utr_singles": 14.32,
      "utr_ranking": 229,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.24,
      "ranking": 57,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.32,
      "ranking": 229,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.7411764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 1.049999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 2.253731343283582,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 417,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.477083333333326,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -51.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.082630691399657,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8125872174239583,
    "rank_advantage": 84,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.54545454545454,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.6149621212121161,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.7982954545454533,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.68,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8931297709923665,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.0018939393939394478,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.0276515151515042,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.842813928419364,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.853040761498965,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.6935782610179877,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.054054054054056,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.386363636363633,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -35.649,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.54545454545454,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03854545454545466,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08400000000000007,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.1081081081081097,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}