Arthur Cazaux vs Jaime Faria
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 08:10
18 Ene 2026, 08:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Cazaux
Arthur …: 67,0%
Jaime …: 33,0%
¿Por qué Arthur Cazaux?
UTR 15,24 vs 14,32
(+1,05)
— Ligera ventaja
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arthur … | Jaime … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,43 | 2,70 | 69,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,49 | 3,03 | 67,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Arthur …: +1,4%
Jaime …: -1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Cazaux
Ranking
#67
UTR Rating
15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#57
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
18/33 = 54,5%
Jaime Faria
Ranking
#151
UTR Rating
14,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#229
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/16 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 84,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2537 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8126 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 417,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,5455 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,1081 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0625 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,0541 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,7983 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,0277 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,3864 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,4771 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,6150 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0019 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -35,6490 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6800 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8931 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6154 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8428 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8530 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,6936 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0385 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0840 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,5455 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7412 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,0826 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23127
API ID
15373168
Gamdom ID
601546
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23127,
"api_id": 15373168,
"gamdom_id": 601546,
"player1": "Arthur Cazaux",
"player2": "Jaime Faria",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T04:10:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6701,
"prob_p2": 0.3299,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6701,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 67,
"utr_singles": 15.24,
"utr_ranking": 57,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": 14.32,
"utr_ranking": 229,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 57,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 229,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 1.049999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 2.253731343283582,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 417,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.477083333333326,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -51.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 7.082630691399657,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8125872174239583,
"rank_advantage": 84,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.54545454545454,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.6149621212121161,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.7982954545454533,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.68,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8931297709923665,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.0018939393939394478,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.0276515151515042,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.842813928419364,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.853040761498965,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.6935782610179877,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.054054054054056,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.386363636363633,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0625,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -35.649,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.54545454545454,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03854545454545466,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08400000000000007,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.1081081081081097,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}