Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbert
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 06:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ben Shelton
Ben …: 63,9% Ugo …: 36,1%
¿Por qué Ben Shelton?
UTR 15,65 vs 15,43 (+0,27) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ben … Ugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,30 61,7%
Gamdom 1,60 2,47 62,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,56 2,77 63,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Ben …: +5,2% Ugo …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ben Shelton
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 27/42 = 64,3%
Ugo Humbert
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #38
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 18/29 = 62,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 28,0000
rank_ratio 4,5000
log_rank_ratio 1,5041
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2605,0000
best_rank_diff 8,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,2167
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,3968
surface_matches_ratio 1,4483
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,2857
surface_wr_p2 62,0690
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,0435
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,6061
p1_surface_matches 42,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2857
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,2882
first_serve_won_diff -0,0626
second_serve_won_diff -1,7048
bp_saved_diff 3,8695
bp_converted_diff 1,6250
aces_per_match_diff 1,9154
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -40,0500
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9777
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7136
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5517
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 9,1484
serve_consistency_p2 4,6384
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,3342
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1149
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1487
elite_surface_amplifier 4,4335
UTR
utr_diff 0,2700
utr_p1 0,9082
utr_p2 0,8765
utr_advantage 1,7324
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23129
API ID 15372363
Gamdom ID 601088
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23129,
    "api_id": 15372363,
    "gamdom_id": 601088,
    "player1": "Ben Shelton",
    "player2": "Ugo Humbert",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T02:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.47
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.37
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6391,
    "prob_p2": 0.3609,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6391,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 15.65,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 15.43,
      "utr_ranking": 38,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.65,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.43,
      "ranking": 38,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9082352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.27000000000000135,
    "rank_ratio": 4.5,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 2605,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.8694581280788185,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -59.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.06896551724138,
    "utr_advantage": 1.7324350336862453,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 8,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.5040773967762742,
    "rank_advantage": 28,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5517241379310345,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.216748768472911,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.6249589490968859,
    "p1_surface_matches": 42,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.288160919540232,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9776536312849162,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7135678391959799,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.9154351395730709,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.06256157635468185,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.148422785395844,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.638422029183819,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.3341617169917477,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.04347826086957,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.60606060606061,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.7047619047619165,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4482758620689655,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -40.05,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.433497536945822,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11485714285714288,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14868965517241384,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.3967940272288115,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}