Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbert
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 06:45
20 Ene 2026, 06:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ben Shelton
Ben …: 63,9%
Ugo …: 36,1%
¿Por qué Ben Shelton?
UTR 15,65 vs 15,43
(+0,27)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ben … | Ugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,60 | 2,47 | 62,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,56 | 2,77 | 63,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ben …: +5,2%
Ugo …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ben Shelton
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
27/42 = 64,3%
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
18/29 = 62,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 28,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5041 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2605,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,2167 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,3968 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4483 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,0690 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,0435 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,6061 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,2882 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,0626 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7048 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,8695 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,6250 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9154 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -40,0500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9777 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7136 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5517 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1484 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6384 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,3342 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1149 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1487 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,4335 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9082 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7324 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23129
API ID
15372363
Gamdom ID
601088
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 15372363,
"gamdom_id": 601088,
"player1": "Ben Shelton",
"player2": "Ugo Humbert",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T02:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.47
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": 2.37
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6391,
"prob_p2": 0.3609,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6391,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 15.43,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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"utr_diff": 0.27000000000000135,
"rank_ratio": 4.5,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 2605,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.8694581280788185,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -59.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
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"utr_advantage": 1.7324350336862453,
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"best_rank_diff": 8,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5040773967762742,
"rank_advantage": 28,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5517241379310345,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.216748768472911,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.6249589490968859,
"p1_surface_matches": 42,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.288160919540232,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9776536312849162,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7135678391959799,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9154351395730709,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.06256157635468185,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.148422785395844,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.638422029183819,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.3341617169917477,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.04347826086957,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.60606060606061,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.7047619047619165,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4482758620689655,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -40.05,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.433497536945822,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11485714285714288,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14868965517241384,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.3967940272288115,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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"feature_importance": {}
}