Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 11:05
18 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cameron Norrie
Benjamin …: 43,4%
Cameron …: 56,6%
¿Por qué Cameron Norrie?
UTR 15,19 vs 15,38
(-0,22)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Benjamin … | Cameron … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,50 | 1,30 | 28,6% |
| Gamdom | 3,70 | 1,32 | 27,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,30 | 1,77 | 43,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Benjamin …: +16,3%
Cameron …: -16,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Benjamin Bonzi
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/29 = 51,7%
Cameron Norrie
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/37 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -78,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2642 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3312 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -972,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,3728 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,2907 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7838 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,7241 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,5152 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,2195 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,9588 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,9106 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7312 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,0125 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,5486 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4921 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -24,4550 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8609 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0068 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8646 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6591 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,4963 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0952 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0645 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4230 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23130
API ID
15372356
Gamdom ID
601116
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23130,
"api_id": 15372356,
"gamdom_id": 601116,
"player1": "Benjamin Bonzi",
"player2": "Cameron Norrie",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T07:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.5,
"p2": 1.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.7,
"p2": 1.32
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.49,
"p2": 1.3
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.434,
"prob_p2": 0.566,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.566,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 106,
"utr_singles": 15.19,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.724137931034484,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 15.38,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 62,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.22000000000000064,
"rank_ratio": 0.2641509433962264,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -972,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.0124883504193747,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.724137931034484,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.35135135135135,
"utr_advantage": -1.423027166882281,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -34,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3312345839368633,
"rank_advantage": -78,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.37278657968313667,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.5485554520037255,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.958835041938485,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8608695652173913,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0068493150684932,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4920782851817327,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.910624417520964,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.864635798455366,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.659114710514567,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.4962663873017268,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.515151515151516,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.21951219512195,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.7312208760484538,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7837837837837838,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -24.455000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09524137931034482,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06448648648648647,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.2907119980290723,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}