Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cameron Norrie
Benjamin …: 43,4% Cameron …: 56,6%
¿Por qué Cameron Norrie?
UTR 15,19 vs 15,38 (-0,22) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Benjamin … Cameron … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,50 1,30 28,6%
Gamdom 3,70 1,32 27,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,30 1,77 43,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Benjamin …: +16,3% Cameron …: -16,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Benjamin Bonzi
Ranking #106
UTR Rating 15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/29 = 51,7%
Cameron Norrie
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/37 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -78,0000
rank_ratio 0,2642
log_rank_ratio -1,3312
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -972,0000
best_rank_diff -34,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,3728
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,2907
surface_matches_ratio 0,7838
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,7241
surface_wr_p2 51,3514
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,5152
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,2195
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0345
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,9588
first_serve_won_diff -6,9106
second_serve_won_diff -1,7312
bp_saved_diff 1,0125
bp_converted_diff 1,5486
aces_per_match_diff -0,4921
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -24,4550
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0068
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4167
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4348
serve_consistency_p1 10,8646
serve_consistency_p2 8,6591
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,4963
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0952
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0645
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2200
utr_p1 0,8647
utr_p2 0,8906
utr_advantage -1,4230
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23130
API ID 15372356
Gamdom ID 601116
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23130,
    "api_id": 15372356,
    "gamdom_id": 601116,
    "player1": "Benjamin Bonzi",
    "player2": "Cameron Norrie",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T07:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.5,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.7,
      "p2": 1.32
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.49,
      "p2": 1.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.434,
    "prob_p2": 0.566,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.566,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 106,
      "utr_singles": 15.19,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.724137931034484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 15.38,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.19,
      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.38,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.8905882352941177,
    "utr_diff": -0.22000000000000064,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2641509433962264,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -972,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.0124883504193747,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.724137931034484,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.35135135135135,
    "utr_advantage": -1.423027166882281,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -34,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3312345839368633,
    "rank_advantage": -78,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.37278657968313667,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.5485554520037255,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.958835041938485,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8608695652173913,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0068493150684932,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.4920782851817327,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.910624417520964,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.864635798455366,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.659114710514567,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.4962663873017268,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.515151515151516,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.21951219512195,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.7312208760484538,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7837837837837838,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -24.455000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09524137931034482,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06448648648648647,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.2907119980290723,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}