Brandon Nakashima vs Botic Van de Zandschulp
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 08:45
19 Ene 2026, 08:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Brandon Nakashima
Brandon …: 62,5%
Botic …: 37,5%
¿Por qué Brandon Nakashima?
UTR 15,41 vs 15,09
(+0,36)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Brandon … | Botic … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,36 | 3,40 | 73,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,60 | 2,67 | 62,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Brandon …: -7,7%
Botic …: +7,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/39 = 53,8%
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Ranking
#75
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,5862 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9502 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 776,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,3613 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,8397 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1818 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,4884 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,6486 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,8366 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,3028 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,6874 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,4853 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,5916 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,6457 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,9240 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9762 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5904 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,7732 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4566 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,0943 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0075 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0308 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 5,3613 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8353 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,3560 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23131
API ID
15372375
Gamdom ID
601101
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23131,
"api_id": 15372375,
"gamdom_id": 601101,
"player1": "Brandon Nakashima",
"player2": "Botic Van de Zandschulp",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T04:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3599999999999999,
"p2": 3.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.36,
"p2": 3.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.35,
"p2": 3.17
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6249,
"prob_p2": 0.3751,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6249,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 30,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 75,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 81,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
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}
},
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},
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"ranking": 81,
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.3600000000000012,
"rank_ratio": 2.586206896551724,
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"momentum_p1": 60.0,
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"points_diff": 776,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.485314685314677,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 28.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
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"utr_advantage": 2.3560209424083847,
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"best_rank_diff": -7,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9501922835498364,
"rank_advantage": 46,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"surface_wr_diff": 5.361305361305362,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.591608391608389,
"p1_surface_matches": 39,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.836550116550143,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9761904761904762,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5903614457831325,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.645687645687646,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.3027972027972226,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.7732186510280323,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.456597599518085,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.094270984066723,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.48837209302325,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.687412587412581,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1818181818181819,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.924000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 5.361305361305362,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.007538461538461605,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.030848484848484903,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.839723444374599,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}