Christopher O'Connell vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 06:10
20 Ene 2026, 06:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Christopher O'Connell
Christopher …: 60,1%
Nishesh …: 39,9%
¿Por qué Christopher O'Connell?
UTR 14,87 vs 15,04
(-0,22)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Christopher … | Nishesh … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,35 | 1,65 | 42,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,66 | 2,51 | 60,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Christopher …: +17,0%
Nishesh …: -17,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking
#118
UTR Rating
14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
16/30 = 53,3%
Nishesh Basavareddy
Ranking
#242
UTR Rating
15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/37 = 56,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 121,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0254 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7058 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 291,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 46,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,4234 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,1564 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8108 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,0976 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,6754 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,0541 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,0730 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,5865 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,1243 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3622 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -70,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -50,1360 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7333 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6471 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0337 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,2910 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,4162 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0877 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1886 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -3,4234 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8435 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4608 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23134
API ID
15373161
Gamdom ID
601545
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23134,
"api_id": 15373161,
"gamdom_id": 601545,
"player1": "Christopher O'Connell",
"player2": "Nishesh Basavareddy",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T02:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.35,
"p2": 1.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.29,
"p2": 1.61
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6012,
"prob_p2": 0.3988,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6012,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.87,
"utr_ranking": 102,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 242,
"utr_singles": 15.04,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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},
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"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.22000000000000064,
"rank_ratio": 2.0254237288135593,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 291,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.586486486486493,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -70.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
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"utr_advantage": -1.4608233731739753,
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"best_rank_diff": 46,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7057789274658459,
"rank_advantage": 121,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.423423423423422,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.12432432432432,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.6754054054054137,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7333333333333333,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.3621621621621625,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.054054054054035,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.033653156604312,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.2910009626264416,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.4161801120452373,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.09756097560976,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.07297297297297,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8108108108108109,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -50.13600000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -3.423423423423422,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08766666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18856756756756754,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.1563845050215207,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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"feature_importance": {}
}