Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfils
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 08:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Gael Monfils
Dane …: 14,2% Gael …: 85,8%
¿Por qué Gael Monfils?
UTR 14,51 vs 15,37 (-1,36) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dane … Gael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,50 1,58 40,0%
IA Fair Odds 7,06 1,16 14,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Dane …: -29,0% Gael …: +29,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dane Sweeny
Ranking #182
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 75% (8p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Gael Monfils
Ranking #110
UTR Rating 15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #37
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 10% (10p)
WR Hard 14/23 = 60,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -72,0000
rank_ratio 0,6044
log_rank_ratio -0,5035
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -225,0000
best_rank_diff -175,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,5362
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,1975
surface_matches_ratio 0,6522
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 60,8696
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,2593
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,6333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -20,9867
first_serve_won_diff -12,3000
second_serve_won_diff -5,9000
bp_saved_diff -11,5000
bp_converted_diff 3,0000
aces_per_match_diff -6,5333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,8000
last3_wr_diff 1,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 92,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 71,1160
current_streak_diff 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,4410
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 6,0755
serve_consistency_p2 6,6951
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,7947
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1053
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0367
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,3600
utr_p1 0,7306
utr_p2 0,8906
utr_advantage -9,1336
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23136
API ID 15373163
Gamdom ID 601551
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23136,
    "api_id": 15373163,
    "gamdom_id": 601551,
    "player1": "Dane Sweeny",
    "player2": "Gael Monfils",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T04:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.58
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.43,
      "p2": 1.55
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1416,
    "prob_p2": 0.8584,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8584,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 182,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 110,
      "utr_singles": 15.37,
      "utr_ranking": 37,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.86956521739131,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 10.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 37,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7305882352941178,
    "utr_p2": 0.8905882352941177,
    "utr_diff": -1.3599999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6043956043956044,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": -225,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 92.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.86956521739131,
    "utr_advantage": -9.133646742780385,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -175,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5035263212843791,
    "rank_advantage": -72,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.536231884057976,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -20.986666666666665,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.4409937888198758,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -6.533333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 8,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -12.299999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.075460989269555,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.695097812381681,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.7946911169257582,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.25925925925925,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.899999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6521739130434783,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 71.11600000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10533333333333328,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03669565217391313,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.197530864197528,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}