Emilio Nava vs Kyrian Jacquet
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 07:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emilio Nava
Emilio …: 66,7% Kyrian …: 33,3%
¿Por qué Emilio Nava?
UTR 14,99 vs 14,63 (+0,34) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emilio … Kyrian … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,38 63,7%
Gamdom 1,62 2,43 61,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,50 3,00 66,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Emilio …: +6,4% Kyrian …: -6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emilio Nava
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #92
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Kyrian Jacquet
Ranking #128
UTR Rating 14,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #145
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 40,0000
rank_ratio 1,4545
log_rank_ratio 0,3747
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 200,0000
best_rank_diff 40,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -15,0877
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,5263
surface_matches_ratio 0,3947
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 68,4211
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,1021
first_serve_won_diff 1,9211
second_serve_won_diff -4,7211
bp_saved_diff 3,3211
bp_converted_diff -7,7211
aces_per_match_diff 4,2789
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,6260
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 72,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6585
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7692
serve_consistency_p1 9,0264
serve_consistency_p2 7,3764
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,6533
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0067
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2242
elite_surface_amplifier -15,0877
UTR
utr_diff 0,3400
utr_p1 0,8118
utr_p2 0,7718
utr_advantage 2,3082
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23141
API ID 15372352
Gamdom ID 601114
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23141,
    "api_id": 15372352,
    "gamdom_id": 601114,
    "player1": "Emilio Nava",
    "player2": "Kyrian Jacquet",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T03:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.43
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.35
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6668,
    "prob_p2": 0.3332,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6668,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 14.99,
      "utr_ranking": 92,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 128,
      "utr_singles": 14.63,
      "utr_ranking": 145,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.99,
      "ranking": 92,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.63,
      "ranking": 145,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8117647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.771764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4545454545454546,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 200,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.3210526315789366,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
    "utr_advantage": 2.308214528173794,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 40,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3746934494414107,
    "rank_advantage": 40,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": -15.08771929824561,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.721052631578949,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.102105263157881,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6585365853658537,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.2789473684210515,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.9210526315789451,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.026419176715478,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.376401323334027,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.653269588063388,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.721052631578942,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.39473684210526316,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.6260000000000048,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -15.08771929824561,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 72,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.00666666666666671,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22421052631578953,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.52631578947368,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}