Ethan Quinn vs Tallon Griekspoor
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 05:20
20 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ethan Quinn
Ethan …: 50,1%
Tallon …: 50,0%
¿Por qué Ethan Quinn?
UTR 14,94 vs 15,27
(-0,40)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ethan … | Tallon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,16 | 1,76 | 46,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,00 | 2,00 | 50,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ethan …: +6,9%
Tallon …: -6,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ethan Quinn
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#93
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/44 = 59,1%
Tallon Griekspoor
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
15,27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -53,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3205 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,1378 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -832,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -43,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,7038 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,7619 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4194 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1818 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,0364 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,7449 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,9229 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,7824 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,4276 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,4435 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,8100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9189 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7363 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3846 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6522 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,1529 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,2888 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -12,1792 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1439 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0691 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,6230 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23142
API ID
15372365
Gamdom ID
601098
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23142,
"api_id": 15372365,
"gamdom_id": 601098,
"player1": "Ethan Quinn",
"player2": "Tallon Griekspoor",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T01:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.16,
"p2": 1.76
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.72
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5005,
"prob_p2": 0.4995,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5005,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.94,
"utr_ranking": 93,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 15.27,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 93,
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"is_pro": true
},
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"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
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"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -832,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.78240469208211,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
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"utr_advantage": -2.6229508196721216,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -43,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.137833001821391,
"rank_advantage": -53,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6521739130434783,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.703812316715542,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.427565982404698,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.036392961876842,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.918918918918919,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7362637362637363,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.443548387096774,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.7448680351906205,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.15293424844741,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.288800242537468,
"surface_rank_synergy": -12.179150899261222,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.9228739002932613,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4193548387096775,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.81000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.143909090909091,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06912903225806455,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.761904761904766,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}