Ethan Quinn vs Tallon Griekspoor
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ethan Quinn
Ethan …: 50,1% Tallon …: 50,0%
¿Por qué Ethan Quinn?
UTR 14,94 vs 15,27 (-0,40) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ethan … Tallon … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,16 1,76 46,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,00 2,00 50,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Ethan …: +6,9% Tallon …: -6,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ethan Quinn
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #93
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/44 = 59,1%
Tallon Griekspoor
Ranking #26
UTR Rating 15,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -53,0000
rank_ratio 0,3205
log_rank_ratio -1,1378
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -832,0000
best_rank_diff -43,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,7038
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,7619
surface_matches_ratio 1,4194
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,0909
surface_wr_p2 48,3871
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,5714
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1818
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,0364
first_serve_won_diff -3,7449
second_serve_won_diff -0,9229
bp_saved_diff -7,7824
bp_converted_diff 11,4276
aces_per_match_diff -2,4435
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 11,8100
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9189
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7363
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3846
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6522
serve_consistency_p1 11,1529
serve_consistency_p2 10,2888
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -12,1792
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1439
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0691
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4000
utr_p1 0,8294
utr_p2 0,8765
utr_advantage -2,6230
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23142
API ID 15372365
Gamdom ID 601098
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23142,
    "api_id": 15372365,
    "gamdom_id": 601098,
    "player1": "Ethan Quinn",
    "player2": "Tallon Griekspoor",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T01:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.16,
      "p2": 1.76
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.72
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5005,
    "prob_p2": 0.4995,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5005,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 14.94,
      "utr_ranking": 93,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 26,
      "utr_singles": 15.27,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.94,
      "ranking": 93,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.27,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8294117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.32051282051282054,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -832,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.78240469208211,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
    "utr_advantage": -2.6229508196721216,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -43,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.137833001821391,
    "rank_advantage": -53,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6521739130434783,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.703812316715542,
    "bp_converted_diff": 11.427565982404698,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.036392961876842,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.918918918918919,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7362637362637363,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.443548387096774,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.7448680351906205,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.15293424844741,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.288800242537468,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -12.179150899261222,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.9228739002932613,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4193548387096775,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 11.81000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.143909090909091,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06912903225806455,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.761904761904766,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}