Filip Misolic vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Filip …: 20,4% Alejandro …: 79,6%
¿Por qué Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
UTR 14,55 vs 15,62 (-1,07) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Filip … Alejandro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 10,00 1,06 10,0%
Gamdom 12,00 1,06 8,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,90 1,26 20,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Filip …: +10,8% Alejandro …: -10,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Filip Misolic
Ranking #84
UTR Rating 14,55 Pro
UTR Ranking #156
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 13/26 = 50,0%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking #14
UTR Rating 15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 29/46 = 63,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -67,0000
rank_ratio 0,1829
log_rank_ratio -1,6987
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1865,0000
best_rank_diff -65,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,0435
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,2000
surface_matches_ratio 0,5652
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 63,0435
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,0000
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 46,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,4359
first_serve_won_diff -0,3587
second_serve_won_diff -1,7174
bp_saved_diff -6,7587
bp_converted_diff -6,2174
aces_per_match_diff 1,0652
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff -42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -45,1000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9104
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6538
serve_consistency_p1 9,9691
serve_consistency_p2 7,6471
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 22,1566
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0670
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0634
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,0700
utr_p1 0,7859
utr_p2 0,9118
utr_advantage -7,0325
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23143
API ID 15372340
Gamdom ID 601122
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23143,
    "api_id": 15372340,
    "gamdom_id": 601122,
    "player1": "Filip Misolic",
    "player2": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T03:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 10.0,
      "p2": 1.06
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 12.0,
      "p2": 1.06
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 9.79,
      "p2": 1.05
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2042,
    "prob_p2": 0.7958,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7958,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 84,
      "utr_singles": 14.55,
      "utr_ranking": 156,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 14,
      "utr_singles": 15.62,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.04347826086957,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.55,
      "ranking": 156,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.62,
      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7858823529411765,
    "utr_p2": 0.9117647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -1.0700000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 0.18292682926829268,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": -1865,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.758695652173927,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.04347826086957,
    "utr_advantage": -7.03253368386461,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -65,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.698669046162043,
    "rank_advantage": -67,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6538461538461539,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.04347826086957,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.217391304347828,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 46,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.435869565217395,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9104477611940298,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0652173913043477,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.35869565217390686,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.969071486655423,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.647103601534296,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 22.156552776026658,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.717391304347835,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5652173913043478,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -45.100000000000016,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06699999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06343478260869573,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.2,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}