Filip Misolic vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 07:20
19 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Filip …: 20,4%
Alejandro …: 79,6%
¿Por qué Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
UTR 14,55 vs 15,62
(-1,07)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Filip … | Alejandro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 10,00 | 1,06 | 10,0% |
| Gamdom | 12,00 | 1,06 | 8,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,90 | 1,26 | 20,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Filip …: +10,8%
Alejandro …: -10,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Filip Misolic
Ranking
#84
UTR Rating
14,55 Pro
UTR Ranking
#156
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
13/26 = 50,0%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
29/46 = 63,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -67,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1829 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,6987 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1865,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -65,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,0435 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,2000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5652 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,0435 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,4359 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3587 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7174 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,7587 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,2174 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0652 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -45,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9104 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6538 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,9691 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,6471 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 22,1566 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0670 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0634 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9118 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,0325 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23143
API ID
15372340
Gamdom ID
601122
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23143,
"api_id": 15372340,
"gamdom_id": 601122,
"player1": "Filip Misolic",
"player2": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T03:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 10.0,
"p2": 1.06
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 12.0,
"p2": 1.06
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 9.79,
"p2": 1.05
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2042,
"prob_p2": 0.7958,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7958,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 84,
"utr_singles": 14.55,
"utr_ranking": 156,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 14,
"utr_singles": 15.62,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.04347826086957,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 156,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.9117647058823529,
"utr_diff": -1.0700000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 0.18292682926829268,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": -1865,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.758695652173927,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -42.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.04347826086957,
"utr_advantage": -7.03253368386461,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -65,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.698669046162043,
"rank_advantage": -67,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6538461538461539,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.04347826086957,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.217391304347828,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 46,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.435869565217395,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9104477611940298,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0652173913043477,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.35869565217390686,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.969071486655423,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.647103601534296,
"surface_rank_synergy": 22.156552776026658,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.717391304347835,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5652173913043478,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -45.100000000000016,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06699999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06343478260869573,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.2,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}