Francisco Cerundolo vs Zhizhen Zhang
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco …: 89,4% Zhizhen …: 10,6%
¿Por qué Francisco Cerundolo?
UTR 15,35 vs 14,78 (+0,62) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Francisco … Zhizhen … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,20 73,5%
Gamdom 1,43 3,05 69,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,12 9,47 89,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Francisco …: +19,3% Zhizhen …: -19,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francisco Cerundolo
Ranking #21
UTR Rating 15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking #43
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/25 = 60,0%
Zhizhen Zhang
Ranking #368
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #113
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 4/16 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 342,0000
rank_ratio 18,1000
log_rank_ratio 2,8959
rank_tier_advantage 4,0000
points_diff 1905,0000
best_rank_diff 13,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 35,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 19,5575
surface_matches_ratio 1,5625
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,6207
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,0000
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,0995
first_serve_won_diff -4,2350
second_serve_won_diff 2,8100
bp_saved_diff -2,6100
bp_converted_diff 8,3900
aces_per_match_diff -3,4125
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,5750
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 13,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7391
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0732
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7273
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1667
serve_consistency_p1 5,3025
serve_consistency_p2 7,4916
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 101,3569
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2420
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0920
elite_surface_amplifier 140,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6200
utr_p1 0,8765
utr_p2 0,8035
utr_advantage 4,0951
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23145
API ID 15372353
Gamdom ID 601100
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23145,
    "api_id": 15372353,
    "gamdom_id": 601100,
    "player1": "Francisco Cerundolo",
    "player2": "Zhizhen Zhang",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T02:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 3.05
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 2.87
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8944,
    "prob_p2": 0.1056,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8944,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 21,
      "utr_singles": 15.35,
      "utr_ranking": 43,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 368,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 113,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.35,
      "ranking": 43,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 113,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.8035294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.6199999999999992,
    "rank_ratio": 18.1,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": 1905,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.6100000000000136,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -1.9999999999999964,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.0951122853368505,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 13,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.89591193827178,
    "rank_advantage": 342,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 35.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.390000000000008,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.099500000000006,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0731707317073171,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.4124999999999996,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 4,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.235000000000014,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.302525098748665,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.4915973287408875,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 101.3569178395123,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.620689655172406,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.809999999999995,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.574999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 140.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.242,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09199999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.557471264367813,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}