Francisco Cerundolo vs Zhizhen Zhang
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 06:25
18 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco …: 89,4%
Zhizhen …: 10,6%
¿Por qué Francisco Cerundolo?
UTR 15,35 vs 14,78
(+0,62)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Francisco … | Zhizhen … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,43 | 3,05 | 69,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,12 | 9,47 | 89,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Francisco …: +19,3%
Zhizhen …: -19,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francisco Cerundolo
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#43
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/25 = 60,0%
Zhizhen Zhang
Ranking
#368
UTR Rating
14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#113
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
4/16 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 342,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 18,1000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,8959 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1905,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 35,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19,5575 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5625 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,0995 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,2350 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,8100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,6100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,3900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,4125 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,5750 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7391 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0732 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7273 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,3025 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4916 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 101,3569 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2420 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0920 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 140,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8035 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,0951 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23145
API ID
15372353
Gamdom ID
601100
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23145,
"api_id": 15372353,
"gamdom_id": 601100,
"player1": "Francisco Cerundolo",
"player2": "Zhizhen Zhang",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3599999999999999,
"p2": 3.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 3.05
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 2.87
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8944,
"prob_p2": 0.1056,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8944,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 15.35,
"utr_ranking": 43,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 368,
"utr_singles": 14.78,
"utr_ranking": 113,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.35,
"ranking": 43,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.78,
"ranking": 113,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8035294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.6199999999999992,
"rank_ratio": 18.1,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": 1905,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.6100000000000136,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -1.9999999999999964,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 4.0951122853368505,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 13,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.89591193827178,
"rank_advantage": 342,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 35.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.390000000000008,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.099500000000006,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0731707317073171,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.4124999999999996,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.235000000000014,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.302525098748665,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.4915973287408875,
"surface_rank_synergy": 101.3569178395123,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.620689655172406,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.809999999999995,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5625,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.574999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 140.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.242,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09199999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.557471264367813,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}