Fábián Marozsán vs Arthur Rinderknech
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Rinderknech
Fábián …: 44,6% Arthur …: 55,5%
¿Por qué Arthur Rinderknech?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Fábián … Arthur … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,24 1,80 44,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Fábián …: -8,1% Arthur …: +8,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking #47
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Arthur Rinderknech
Ranking #28
UTR Rating 15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/35 = 45,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -26,0000
rank_ratio 0,5000
log_rank_ratio -0,6931
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -576,0000
best_rank_diff -10,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,8986
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,2747
surface_matches_ratio 0,8857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,6129
surface_wr_p2 45,7143
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,1538
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,2189
first_serve_won_diff -2,9515
second_serve_won_diff 1,8701
bp_saved_diff -5,6598
bp_converted_diff -6,6462
aces_per_match_diff -5,1521
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 30,6200
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 11,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1456
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0818
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3529
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,3193
serve_consistency_p2 4,6998
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,0886
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0421
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0689
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8965
utr_p2 0,8965
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23146
API ID 15372345
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23146,
    "api_id": 15372345,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
    "player2": "Arthur Rinderknech",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T01:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4455,
    "prob_p2": 0.5545,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5545,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 47,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.47,
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      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
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  "utr": {
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    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.152073732718894,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.9515207373272005,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.319315179873393,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.699772312099846,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.088610097312117,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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  "feature_importance": {}
}