Fábián Marozsán vs Arthur Rinderknech
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 05:20
19 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Rinderknech
Fábián …: 44,6%
Arthur …: 55,5%
¿Por qué Arthur Rinderknech?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Fábián … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,24 | 1,80 | 44,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Fábián …: -8,1%
Arthur …: +8,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#47
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Arthur Rinderknech
Ranking
#28
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/35 = 45,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -576,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,8986 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,2747 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,1538 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11,2189 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,9515 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,8701 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,6598 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,6462 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,1521 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 30,6200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 11,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1456 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,3193 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6998 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,0886 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0421 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0689 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8965 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23146
API ID
15372345
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23146,
"api_id": 15372345,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"player2": "Arthur Rinderknech",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T01:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4455,
"prob_p2": 0.5545,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5545,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 47,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 28,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.714285714285715,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 28,
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.896470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.5,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -576,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.659815668202768,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 47.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.714285714285715,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -10,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6931471805599453,
"rank_advantage": -26,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.898617511520733,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.646175115207374,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.218866359446999,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.145631067961165,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0818181818181818,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.152073732718894,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.9515207373272005,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.319315179873393,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.699772312099846,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.088610097312117,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.15384615384615,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.8701382488479297,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8857142857142857,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 30.61999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.042129032258064525,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0688571428571429,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.27472527472527,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}