Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastián Báez
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 05:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Giovanni …: 70,9% Sebastián …: 29,1%
¿Por qué Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Giovanni … Sebastián … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,61 2,13 62,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,41 3,43 70,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Giovanni …: +14,0% Sebastián …: -14,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #71
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Sebastián Báez
Ranking #36
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 3/14 = 21,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -24,0000
rank_ratio 0,6190
log_rank_ratio -0,4796
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -385,0000
best_rank_diff -11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,4286
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,3403
surface_matches_ratio 2,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 21,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 27,7778
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 25,8589
first_serve_won_diff 7,2679
second_serve_won_diff 11,4643
bp_saved_diff 13,2857
bp_converted_diff -18,8964
aces_per_match_diff 9,3929
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -21,7040
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0412
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5441
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4737
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,9734
serve_consistency_p2 4,4160
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -10,2766
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0474
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3097
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8553
utr_p2 0,8553
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23147
API ID 15372383
Gamdom ID 601079
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23147,
    "api_id": 15372383,
    "gamdom_id": 601079,
    "player1": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
    "player2": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T01:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.61,
      "p2": 2.13
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.22
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7087,
    "prob_p2": 0.2913,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7087,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 71,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 36,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 21.428571428571427,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 71,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8552941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.8552941176470588,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6190476190476191,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -385,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 13.285714285714285,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -47.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 21.428571428571427,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.4795730802618862,
    "rank_advantage": -24,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47368421052631576,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.428571428571427,
    "bp_converted_diff": -18.89642857142857,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 25.858928571428564,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.041237113402062,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5441176470588235,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 9.392857142857142,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.267857142857139,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.973427072006304,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.415975796853611,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -10.276566005611846,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 27.77777777777778,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 11.464285714285715,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.703999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04742857142857143,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3097142857142857,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.340277777777777,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}