Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastián Báez
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 05:40
20 Ene 2026, 05:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Giovanni …: 70,9%
Sebastián …: 29,1%
¿Por qué Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Giovanni … | Sebastián … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,61 | 2,13 | 62,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,41 | 3,43 | 70,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Giovanni …: +14,0%
Sebastián …: -14,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#71
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Sebastián Báez
Ranking
#36
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
3/14 = 21,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -24,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6190 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4796 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -385,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,4286 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,3403 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 21,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 27,7778 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 25,8589 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,2679 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 11,4643 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 13,2857 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -18,8964 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 9,3929 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,7040 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0412 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5441 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4737 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,9734 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,4160 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -10,2766 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0474 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3097 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8553 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8553 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23147
API ID
15372383
Gamdom ID
601079
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23147,
"api_id": 15372383,
"gamdom_id": 601079,
"player1": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
"player2": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T01:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.61,
"p2": 2.13
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7087,
"prob_p2": 0.2913,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7087,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 61,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 71,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 36,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 21.428571428571427,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 71,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.6190476190476191,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -385,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 13.285714285714285,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -47.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 21.428571428571427,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4795730802618862,
"rank_advantage": -24,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47368421052631576,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.428571428571427,
"bp_converted_diff": -18.89642857142857,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 25.858928571428564,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.041237113402062,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5441176470588235,
"aces_per_match_diff": 9.392857142857142,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.267857142857139,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.973427072006304,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.415975796853611,
"surface_rank_synergy": -10.276566005611846,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 27.77777777777778,
"second_serve_won_diff": 11.464285714285715,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.703999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04742857142857143,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3097142857142857,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.340277777777777,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}