Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 10:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert …: 57,5% Zizou …: 42,5%
¿Por qué Hubert Hurkacz?
UTR 15,65 vs 15,15 (+0,49) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hubert … Zizou … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,39 3,25 71,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,74 2,35 57,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Hubert …: -8,1% Zizou …: +8,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 7/14 = 50,0%
Zizou Bergs
Ranking #43
UTR Rating 15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #72
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/39 = 59,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -10,0000
rank_ratio 0,8113
log_rank_ratio -0,2091
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -205,0000
best_rank_diff 33,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,9744
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,0504
surface_matches_ratio 0,3590
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 58,9744
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,1395
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 14,2388
first_serve_won_diff 5,3099
second_serve_won_diff -0,0198
bp_saved_diff 12,4923
bp_converted_diff -10,7555
aces_per_match_diff 5,7949
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2167
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6713
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5385
serve_consistency_p1 5,1106
serve_consistency_p2 5,9669
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,8765
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0100
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0797
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4900
utr_p1 0,9106
utr_p2 0,8529
utr_advantage 3,1623
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23149
API ID 15372378
Gamdom ID 601117
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23149,
    "api_id": 15372378,
    "gamdom_id": 601117,
    "player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
    "player2": "Zizou Bergs",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T06:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.39,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.38,
      "p2": 3.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5753,
    "prob_p2": 0.4247,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5753,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 15.65,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 43,
      "utr_singles": 15.15,
      "utr_ranking": 72,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.65,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.15,
      "ranking": 72,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9105882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.8529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8113207547169812,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -205,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.492307692307676,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -9.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.97435897435898,
    "utr_advantage": 3.1623104227170065,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 33,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.20909179785855936,
    "rank_advantage": -10,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.974358974358978,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.755494505494504,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 39,
    "serve_quality_diff": 14.238754578754566,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2166666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6713286713286714,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.794871794871795,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.309890109890091,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.110562903538258,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.966904502685439,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.8764648525768155,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.139534883720934,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.019780219780216157,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.358974358974359,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.010000000000000009,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07974358974358975,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.0503875968992284,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}