Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 10:40
20 Ene 2026, 10:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert …: 57,5%
Zizou …: 42,5%
¿Por qué Hubert Hurkacz?
UTR 15,65 vs 15,15
(+0,49)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hubert … | Zizou … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,39 | 3,25 | 71,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,74 | 2,35 | 57,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hubert …: -8,1%
Zizou …: +8,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/14 = 50,0%
Zizou Bergs
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#72
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/39 = 59,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8113 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2091 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -205,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 33,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,9744 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,0504 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3590 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,1395 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14,2388 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,3099 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0198 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,4923 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,7555 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,7949 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2167 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6713 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1106 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9669 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,8765 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0100 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0797 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9106 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8529 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,1623 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23149
API ID
15372378
Gamdom ID
601117
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23149,
"api_id": 15372378,
"gamdom_id": 601117,
"player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
"player2": "Zizou Bergs",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T06:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.39,
"p2": 3.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.38,
"p2": 3.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5753,
"prob_p2": 0.4247,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5753,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 43,
"utr_singles": 15.15,
"utr_ranking": 72,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 72,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8529411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.8113207547169812,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -205,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.492307692307676,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.97435897435898,
"utr_advantage": 3.1623104227170065,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 33,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.20909179785855936,
"rank_advantage": -10,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.974358974358978,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.755494505494504,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 39,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.238754578754566,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2166666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6713286713286714,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.794871794871795,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.309890109890091,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.110562903538258,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.966904502685439,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.8764648525768155,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.139534883720934,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.019780219780216157,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.358974358974359,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.010000000000000009,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07974358974358975,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.0503875968992284,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}